WTA - WTA Australian Open
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Number two seed Iga Swiatek begins her quest for a first Australian Open title with an opening-round showdown with qualifier Yuan Yue. This is their second meeting and the first at a major. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Yuan Yue has never won a first-round tie at the Australian Open. The 27-year-old lost in this very round in each of her previous three appearances. As she is facing one of the top WTA performers, her quest for a win could be further extended.
Yue, who has started the year with a 5-1 record, won three qualifiers to advance to this round. She has moved to 129th in the live ranking.
Iga Swiatek is coming into this match after a questionable run of form. The world number two started the season with three straight wins, representing her nation at the United Cup.
She, however, lost the next two fixtures, against Cori Gauff and Belinda Bencic. Fortunately for her, Poland proved strong enough to go on and win the tournament.
Swiatek has had some questionable performances since last season, a campaign in which she lost a joint career high of 17 matches. The 24-year-old was unable to resume top spot in the WTA, and it was the first time since 2021 that she had not been ranked first.
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Who will win the Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek at -7.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek game on 19/01/2026 of the current WTA Australian Open season:
- Yue Yuan has a 23.47% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 26.
- Iga Swiatek has a 76.53% probability of winning facing Yue Yuan ⭐ with odds of 1.01 at Bet365.
Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Yue Yuan has a 23.47 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Yue Yuan | 23.47 % |
| Iga Swiatek | 76.53 % |
Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Form
Yue Yuan and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
15 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
28 Oct 2025 - WTA Jiangxi Open
16 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
14 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Jan 2026 - United Cup
10 Jan 2026 - United Cup
9 Jan 2026 - United Cup
7 Jan 2026 - United Cup
5 Jan 2026 - United Cup
16 Nov 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
27 Sept 2025 - WTA China Open
Yue Yuan - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Yue has lost 12 of 13 duels with top 10 players.
- Swiatek has never lost a first-round tie at the Australian Open.
- Swiatek lost just three games to Yue in their only past encounter.
- Twice this season, Swiatek has lost more than five games a contest.
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Our Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Our Yuan Yue v Iga Swiatek prediction is Iga Swiatek at -7.5. Swiatek is coming into this match having lost her last two fixtures. Despite this, we have her winning this tie comfortably. This is because the Pole is one of the top players on tour and is renowned for her suffocating style of play.
In her only encounter with Yue, she won one set in a bagel and lost just three games in the contest. Though Yue has had a strong start to 2026, she hasn’t faced off with the WTA’s top performers, opponents she has a poor record against.