Europe - Champions League
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Two sides desperate to end unwanted records in the Champions League will be clashing at the Estadio de la Ceramica this Tuesday. Visiting Manchester City will be taking on Villarreal in this matchday three encounter. The hosts will come into the match placed 26th in the league phase standings, while Manchester City are eighth. Both look to improve, and below is our prediction on the match.
The stat Villarreal will be keen to change in this fixture is that they are still winless after the opening two rounds. The Spaniards have so far managed one point. They are still trying to win their first-ever league stage match since the competition’s format changed.
On the other hand, Manchester City will be seeking their first away win in five Champions League matches. It is an unsightly record for a Pep Guardiola team, especially as they lost three of the last four of those games.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2025 between Villarreal and Manchester City in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.34% for a win of Villarreal against Manchester City with odds of 4.7 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Manchester City is 21.89% with odds of 4.24 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Villarreal with odds of 1.8 at 888Starz.
Villarreal vs Manchester City Form
Villarreal and Manchester City's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
|
26
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Villarreal and Manchester City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
18 Sep 2025 - Champions League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Villarreal - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Villarreal are facing a second opponent from England. They lost to the first, Tottenham Hotspur, on matchday one.
This time though, they will be playing at home and looking to build on a much more positive outcome in Round 2. The Yellow Submarine are coming off a 2-2 draw with Real Betis, which marked a third winless game for the La Liga side.
Their last outing in the Champions League also ended 2-2, but they will be disappointed at having failed to beat Juventus. The Spanish side came from a winning position in that match but needed a stoppage-time goal to pick up a point.
Manchester City is winless in four away matches in the Champions League.
Manchester City’s early-season shaky form is now a distant memory. They come here unbeaten in the last eight matches. In those eight outings, City only dropped points in two draws.
One of those draws was in the Champions League, at Monaco in the last round. That ended 2-2. They go into a second straight away match in this competition hoping to improve on a run of four away matches in the competition without a win.
Three of those away matches ended in defeat. City, however, warmed up for this match with a 2-0 win against Everton.
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Villarreal vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Missing players
W. Kambwala
L. Costa
J. Foyth
ForwardG. Moreno
P. Cabanes
R. Ait Nouri
A. Khusanov
MidfielderRodri
Villarreal & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Villarreal’s Thomas Partey will be sharing notes about City with his teammates. The midfielder has faced the Cityzens during his time at Arsenal. He has a personal five-match unbeaten record against the visitors too.
The Ghanaian is still settling in and has played just 13 minutes in the Champions League this season.
Villarreal will still be without defender Juan Foyth, who has missed the last five matches with muscle pain. The Argentine featured in seven of the teams’ last 12 matches.
Pau Cabanes, Willy Kambwala, and Logan Costa are all unavailable.
Haaland has eight goals in eight Champions League games against Spanish opposition.
The man who poses the biggest scare for Villarreal is Erling Haaland. The Norwegian is on a scary scoring run, having added two to his impressive tally in the win against Everton.
He has 19 goals in the last nine matches for club and country. His influence doesn’t end there; Haaland also provided three assists in that period.
As the English side looks to Haaland for goals, they will miss Rodri’s defensive performances in their midfield. Having recently recovered from a knee injury, the Spaniard is now out with a hamstring strain.
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Manchester City
T. Buchanan
(4 Goals)
E. Haaland
(14 Goals)
S. Cardona
(2 Assists)
, 
N. Pepe
(2 Assists)
J. Doku
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Reijnders
(3 Assists)
Villarreal and Manchester City Stats in Champions League
Villarreal - Manchester City Key Points
- Manchester City won both previous matches against Villarreal.
- In their last eight matches, Manchester City are unbeaten.
- Manchester City won five of the last six group/league matches against Spanish teams.
- Villarreal are winless in their last eight matches against English sides.
- Villarreal are winless in their last three matches.
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Our Villarreal vs Manchester City Prediction
Manchester City have struggled in their recent away matches in Europe, but this looks like a game they will do well in. The former European champions come here having stabilized after their early-season woes, and we expect them to carry on.
Their record against Spanish sides is quite impressive at the league phase/group stage—winning five of the last six and losing once. While they have that edge, Villarreal have struggled against English sides, and City will definitely be a formidable one. Our prediction for Villarreal v Manchester City is that Manchester City wins the match.
Villarreal vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Erling Haaland to score
Erling Haaland will be a major attraction in this game owing to his recent scoring form. In the last 10 matches for club and country, the Norwegian scored. In that period he netted a total of 20 goals.
His brace against Everton in the team’s league match on Saturday means he has only failed to score in one match this season. Our second prediction for this match will be for Erling Haaland to score.