World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Ukraine and France are set to lock horns at Tarczynski Arena in the Group D opener of the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers. Let's head into the match prediction.
Ukraine's preparation for the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers has been somewhat mixed. Starting with a 4-2 defeat against Canada, they managed to win 2-1 against New Zealand.
However, their overall performance has been convincing. They have lost just two of their last eight matches, recording four wins and two draws in the process.
Their last competitive match on the international stage was against Belgium on March 23rd. It was a UEFA Nations League clash. A 3-0 defeat saw them lose 4-3 on aggregate and were demoted to League B. That defeat also ended a five-match unbeaten run.
France, on the other hand, come into this match after settling for a bronze medal in the UEFA Nations League. On June 8th, they beat Germany 2-0 on the road in the third-place play-off.
Les Bleus will be hoping to make it two wins in a row when they take on Ukraine in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers. So far, they have lost just two of their last nine matches.
However, they'll need to improve on their away form as they head into this clash with two losses in their last three outings.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and France?
Our prediction for the Ukraine vs France match is: France to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Ukraine and France in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.69% for a win of Ukraine against France with odds of 10 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs France is 21.85% with odds of 5.61 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.46% chance ⭐ for a win of France vs Ukraine with odds of 1.35 at Tonybet.
Ukraine - France Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ukraine France Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 49.46% | 1.35 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.05% | 1.84 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: France/France | 24.96% | 1.99 at Vbet |
Ukraine vs France Form
Ukraine and France's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Ukraine and France Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Ukraine vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Sep 2021 - World Cup
24 Mar 2021 - World Cup
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
Ukraine against France Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
V. Tsygankov
Most goals and assists
Ukraine
France
K. Mbappe
(1 Goals)
,
M. Olise
(1 Goals)
Ukraine - France Key Points
- Ukraine have lost two of their last three matches.
- France have won three of their last five matches.
- France have suffered just one defeat in their last six away matches against Ukraine.
- Ukraine have seen each of their last five matches end with over 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
Our Ukraine vs France Prediction
Ukraine have not been performing well and are likely to struggle for a favorable outcome in their opening match against France in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers. Two losses in three matches do not inspire confidence that they'll be able to secure a win here.
France are winless in their last two matches against Ukraine. Before this unwanted run, they were on a two-match winning streak. On paper, they are the better side, and we see them winning here comfortably. Our Ukraine vs France prediction: France to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ukraine France
| Ukraine vs France | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 6 | 9 | +50.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 5.5 | +41.0% |
| France wins | 1.55 | 1.3 | -16.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 76.9% (12.4%)