World - World Cup
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On Friday evening, our attention will shift to the Mandela National Stadium, where Uganda will be playing host to Mozambique in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers. The Cranes are in fourth place in Group G, while Os Mambas are second. Let’s get into the match prediction.
With the exception of Somalia, Group G remains one of the most wide-open in the CAF World Cup Qualifiers, and Uganda are right in the mix with nine points. They trail leaders Algeria by six points and their upcoming opponents in second place by three.
The Cranes edged Guinea to a 1-0 victory in their last match in this competition and now have a record of three wins and three defeats in six games. Notably, they kept clean sheets in each of their victories.
Two of those shoutouts were at home, while they only conceded to Algeria on home soil.
However, it is Mozambique that comes into this match with the psychological edge, having beaten this opponent 3-1 when they faced off in neutral Cairo.
While that victory was followed by a crushing 5-1 loss to Algeria a few days later, the Greens have been the only team to get the better of Os Mambas in this competition.
Pepo played a starring role when these sides last met, bagging a brace and setting up their third. He could be one to watch in this one.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and Mozambique?
Our prediction for the Uganda vs Mozambique match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Uganda and Mozambique in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.35% for a win of Uganda against Mozambique with odds of 1.95 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs Mozambique is 19.5% with odds of 3.25 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Mozambique vs Uganda with odds of 5.05 at 22bet.
Uganda - Mozambique Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uganda Mozambique Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mozambique wins | 47.15% | 5.05 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.25% | 2.75 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 2.43 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Mozambique/Mozambique | 18.77% | 8 at Bet365 |
Uganda vs Mozambique Form
Uganda and Mozambique's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
|
3
|
12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -5 |
Uganda and Mozambique Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
11 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
8 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
4 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
Uganda vs Mozambique Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Uganda - Mozambique Key Points
- Uganda have scored in all six of their matches in this competition.
- Uganda conceded three against this opponent in the reverse fixture.
- Four of Mozambique’s six matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
- Mozambique have conceded seven goals in their three away games in this competition.
- Mozambique have only kept one clean sheet in this competition.
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Our Uganda vs Mozambique Prediction
Given how compact Group G is, three points for any team will lead to significant changes in the standings, and for Uganda, a win here could propel them into the top two heading into Matchday 8.
However, that will not be an easy task against a Mozambique side that has beaten everyone in this group, barring table-topping Algeria. It was an entertaining matchup when these two last met, and we’re expecting similar in this one. Our Uganda vs Mozambique prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uganda Mozambique
| Uganda vs Mozambique | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins | 1.95 | 1.91 | -2.1% |
| Draw | 2.88 | 3.1 | +7.6% |
| Mozambique wins | 4 | 4.75 | +18.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mozambique is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 21.1% (-3.9%)