ATP - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

ATP 47 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego
20/10/2025 15:10
ATP 20 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Sonego wins the match

 
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Eighth seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will take on the unseeded Lorenzo Sonego to begin his campaign in Basel. They will face off in the first round, with the winner playing Jenson Brooksby or Alexandre Muller next. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Lorenzo Sonego is coming off a quarter-final finish in Stockholm. The Italian’s performance in Sweden was his best since a similar run to the last eight in Marseille back in February.

Also a quarter-finalist in Melbourne, Sonego has had a topsy-turvy year and has compiled a 20-26 record. The 30-year-old, who is debuting in Basel, starts a new week in 45th place in the live ranking.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has performed far better than his Italian opponent this year. The Spaniard has won 38 matches and registered three runner-up finishes in Acapulco, Washington and Delray.

He is on course for 40 wins in a season for the first time since 2019. The 26-year-old has, however, stuttered with his form in recent weeks. Yet to win consecutive matches since August, Davidovich Fokina has lost six of his last 10 outings.

He is coming off a quarter-final finish in Brussels that has bumped him up to 18th in the live ranking.

Lorenzo Sonego Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego

16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Arthur Fery
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Marcos Giron
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Raphael Collignon
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

15 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

25 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Compare Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points

  1. Six of Davidovich Fokina’s last 10 matches ended in defeat.
  2. Sonego has won over 60 matches on indoor hard courts in his career.
  3. Davidovich Fokina has lost 35 times on indoor surfaces in his career.
  4. In his last three outings, Sonego has won twice.
Up to €50 to bet on Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina! 

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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina have had inconsistency issues in their respective recent outings. As a result, we should expect a well-fought-out fixture that could end up with a third set being contested. 

Sonego looks likely to remain as the last man standing, being the better indoor performer. The Italian has won 62 matches on such surfaces in his career, which is over 50% of his total duels. Davidovich Fokina, on the other hand, has lost more indoor duels than he has won. Our prediction for Lorenzo Sonego v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is that Lorenzo Sonego wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Sonego wins the match

 
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