World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Slovenia will open their quest for a place at the 2026 World Cup with an away trip to Sweden in Group B. These two nations will also meet Switzerland and Kosovo. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
This seems like a pretty balanced group, and Slovenia, unbeaten in the last five outings, will seek a first-ever win against Sweden. The last time they hosted this match, Slovenia lost 2-0, in the Nations League.
However, they will feel inspired for this after back-to-back friendly wins against Luxembourg and Bosnia and Herzegovina. There has been an improvement in defence too, with the hosts keeping three clean sheets in the latest four matches.
Sweden will also be confident going into the qualifiers. They come here off the back of three straight wins. Their only defeat in their last 10 encounters was a rather shocking one – against Luxembourg.
That 1-0 reverse also marked the only time in 10 matches that Sweden failed to score. The Swedes warmed up for this international break with wins against Algeria and Hungary in June.
They once again brought out their scoring prowess by netting 11 times in their last three games. Three times in the last five outings, Sweden scored at least four goals. Meanwhile, they won eight times in the last 10 matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
What is the prediction for the football match between Slovenia and Sweden?
Our prediction for the Slovenia vs Sweden match is: Sweden to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Slovenia and Sweden in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.84% for a win of Slovenia against Sweden with odds of 3.54 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovenia vs Sweden is 29.27% with odds of 3.55 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs Slovenia with odds of 2.26 at BC Game.
Slovenia - Sweden Prediction and Best Odds:
| Slovenia Sweden Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden wins | 38.89% | 2.26 at BC Game |
| Under 2.5 | 50.57% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | 1.89 at Vbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sweden | 19.66% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Slovenia vs Sweden Form
Slovenia and Sweden's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
|
2
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Slovenia and Sweden Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Slovenia vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Slovenia against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Slovenia
Sweden
Z. Vipotnik
(1 Goals)
,
S. Lovric
(1 Goals)
A. Elanga
(1 Goals)
,
Y. Ayari
(1 Goals)
Slovenia - Sweden Key Points
- Sweden are on eight wins in their last 10 matches.
- Sweden are unbeaten in their four matches against Slovenia.
- At home, Slovenia failed to score just once in the last 10 matches.
- Slovenia have managed two wins only in the last eight home matches.
- Sweden managed just two clean sheets in seven of their last nine away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
Our Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction
Slovenia will bank heavily on their scoring form at home, and that better work, as they’ll be up against a very lethal attacking team. Sweden’s Alexander Isak and Arsenal’s Viktor Gyokeres have been called up, which should make the hosts shudder.
They do have their own goal threat in Manchester United forward Benjamin Sesko, but Sweden are on a much more stable place and should handle him. For the first time in their four meetings, both sides scored in the latest meeting. Our prediction for Slovenia v Sweden is for Sweden to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Slovenia Sweden
| Slovenia vs Sweden | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia wins | 3.2 | 3.5 | +9.4% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.3 | +6.5% |
| Sweden wins | 2.35 | 2.15 | -8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sweden is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 46.5% (4.0%)