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UEFA Group A at the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers will kick off with Slovakia playing host to Germany on Thursday evening. Sokoli and Die Mannschaft are joined by Northern Ireland and Luxembourg in this group. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Slovakia enter this World Cup qualification cycle ranked 52nd by FIFA and have dropped 11 places since December last year. They are hoping to reach only their second World Cup main draw since gaining independence in the late 1990s.
Repre played two friendlies in June and lost both, going down 4-1 to Greece and 1-0 against Israel, extending their winless run to four matches across all competitions in 2025.
At home, though, the Falcons are unbeaten in their last six matches (W4 D2) and have kept clean sheets in three of their last four.
Meanwhile, Germany have exited in the group stage of their last two World Cup campaigns. They are assured at least a place in the Playoffs of these qualifiers based on their Nations League ranking.
Die Mannschaft beat France in the third-place Playoff of the Nations League back in March. They have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last 10 games over the last year.
Excluding the Euros, DFB-Elf are unbeaten in their last five away games and scored two or more goals in four of those matches.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Slovakia and Germany?
Our prediction for the Slovakia vs Germany match is: Germany wins & over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2025 between Slovakia and Germany in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.15% for a win of Slovakia against Germany with odds of 7.56 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovakia vs Germany is 39.3% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Germany vs Slovakia with odds of 1.47 at Vbet.
Slovakia - Germany Prediction and Best Odds:
| Slovakia Germany Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.3% | 5.2 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.18% | 1.65 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | 1.82 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.92% | 8 at Betfair |
Slovakia vs Germany Form
Slovakia and Germany's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Slovakia and Germany Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
Slovakia against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Slovakia
Germany
D. Hancko
(1 Goals)
,
D. Strelec
(1 Goals)
Slovakia - Germany Key Points
- Slovakia have scored two or more goals in four of their last six home games (excluding Euros).
- Seven of Germany’s last 10 games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Germany have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
- Germany are unbeaten in their last five away games (excluding Euros).
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Our Slovakia vs Germany Prediction
Slovakia are the second favourite to win Group A in this competition, but they face a daunting first task, having to take on the powerhouse Germany, which is now back into the top 10 according to FIFA rankings.
The Germans finished fourth at the Nations League and are assured at least a place in the Playoffs of these qualifiers. However, they will want the top spot in this group to ensure they leave nothing to chance. Our Slovakia vs Germany prediction is Germany wins & over 1.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Slovakia Germany
| Slovakia vs Germany | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia wins | 6.25 | 6.5 | +4.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Germany wins | 1.48 | 1.45 | -2.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 22.2% (-2.8%)