ATP - ATP US Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Top seed Jannik Sinner takes on 25th seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in the penultimate hurdle of his US Open title defence. The winner of their first-ever meeting at a major will take on Novak Djokovic or Carlos Alcaraz in the final. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Jannik Sinner is now just two wins away from defending the title he won for the first time last year. The Italian, who has lost just one set on his way to the semi-finals, defeated 10th seed Lorenzo Musetti in the previous round.
He won by the loss of seven games to make it 12 consecutive victories in New York. Currently in second place in the live rankings, Sinner defeated Auger-Aliassime a month ago in Cincinnati.
Though he lost to Sinner in their most recent showdown in dominant fashion, Felix Auger-Aliassime comes into this latest duel confident of an upset. This is because he has the head-to-head advantage over the Italian, having defeated him twice previously.
Auger-Aliassime is having another dominant run at Flushing Meadows and is now just one win away from a first-ever final at a major.
The Canadian, who made the semi-final here in 2021, defeated eighth seed Alex de Minaur 3-1 in the quarter-finals. Now in his eighth semi-final of the season, the 25-year-old has been catapulted to 13th in the live ranking.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime match is: over 3.5 sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime game on 06/09/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 75.26% chance to win against Felix Auger Aliassime according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 1.04.
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 24.74% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 17 at Bet365.
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 75.26 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 75.26 % |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 24.74 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Jannik Sinner and Felix Auger Aliassime Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
2 May 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jannik Sinner - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Both Sinner and Auger-Aliassime have won against one another on hard courts before.
- On hard courts this season, Sinner has claimed 17 wins in 18 outings.
- Both Sinner and Auger-Aliassime have qualified for at least three tour finals this season.
- Auger-Aliassime has won 21 of 29 duels on hard courts this year.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
Our Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Felix Auger-Aliassime is for over 3.5 sets. Sinner is an overwhelming favourite to defend his US Open title. Victory for the Italian, however, will not come easily, the way most of his wins in this year’s championship have. He is facing a player who has a head-to-head advantage over him.
Auger-Aliassime has defeated Sinner twice previously, and with this advantage, he will fancy his chances of pulling off an upset. The Canadian has also been in magnificent form in New York and throughout the year. With a final at stake, we should witness an all-out battle between two exceptionally lethal hard-court players.