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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Matchday seven of eight in the league phase of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League sees 27th-placed Shakhtar Donetsk and seventh-place Stade Brest facing off at the Veltins-Arena in Germany. We’ve got a prediction ready in this crucial match between the Miners and the Pirates!
The pressure is on with only two league phase matches remaining. Ukrainian outfit Shakhtar has only a slim chance at qualifying for the knockout playoff as they will have to be near perfect and hope other teams trip up. Shakhtar have four points currently, putting them four points behind the top-24 spots. Should Man City, PSV and Dinamo Zagreb all win, then Shakhtar would be eliminated.
As for Brest, they’ll be battling for a spot in the top eight and thus an automatic position in the round of 16. The French club has a total of 13 points owing to four wins and a draw, giving them a slim one-point lead over ninth-place Dortmund. Brest will want to take advantage of this fixture as their final league phase matchup will come against holders Real Madrid.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Brest?
Our prediction for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest match is: Brest wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/01/2025 between Shakhtar Donetsk and Brest in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.16% for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk against Brest with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest is 17.6% with odds of 3.57 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shakhtar Donetsk Brest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 50.16% | 3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.34% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Shakhtar Donetsk/Shakhtar Donetsk | 23.68% | 4.85 at Betsson |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest Form
Shakhtar Donetsk and Brest's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
|
28
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
Shakhtar Donetsk and Brest Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
5 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
30 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
22 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest: Form Analysis
This is the first competitive fixture for Shakhtar Donetsk since December 15th, when they fell to a 1-0 away defeat to Polissya in the Ukrainian Premier League. Prior to that, Shakhtar were crushed 5-1 on their home soil by Bayern Munich in matchday six of the Champions League.
The Ukrainian champions haven’t been in the best vein of form as they have just a single victory and three defeats in their last five competitive matches.
That includes dropping their last two straight in this competition, which has resulted in a 1-1-4 Champions League record for Shakhtar this campaign.
Stade Brest have been one of the biggest surprises in their first ever Champions League appearance.
Indeed, it’s been a memorable campaign so far for Stade Brest. They have a good shot at qualifying directly for the round of 16 with a top eight finish, but that might require three points here.
Les Pirates should be in fine spirits as they come into this contest riding a winning streak of three games. This includes an overall run of six wins from their last seven across all competitions.
In their most recent outing, Brest scored a 2-1 away victory over Stade Rennes in Ligue 1 which moved them up to ninth in the domestic standings. As for in this competition, Brest was able to secure a 1-0 home victory as sizable underdogs against PSV in matchday six.
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Shakhtar Donetsk & Brest Squad Analysis
The Ukranians will also be without midfielder Andriy Totovytskyi who is listed on the injury report although the reason is unknown. Left back Pedro Henrique is still suspended following his straight red card in Shakhtar’s 3-2 defeat to PSV in matchday five.
The star man for Shakhtar Donetsk is undoubtedly attacking midfielder Georgiy Sudakov.
22-year-old Georgiy Sudakov has been attracting plenty of interest from some of Europe’s biggest names.
The number 10 is his team’s leading scorer across all competitions with nine goals from 24 appearances while also registering four assists.
Brest come into this key matchup with a fairly lengthy injury list. Manager Éric Roy will be without no fewer than six players for his team’s trip to Germany.
That list includes: Bradley Locko (achilles tendon), Soumaila Coulibaly (pelvis), Jonas Martin (muscle), Julien Le Cardinal (hamstring), Jordan Amavi (hamstring) and Massadio Haidara (calf).
Striker Ludovic Ajorque and Brighton-loanee Abdallah Sima will spearhead this Brest attack. The two players are tied for the most goals in the team with seven each across all competitions.
Sima, in particular, has enjoyed a fruitful Champions League campaign as he has struck three times.
Most goals and assists
Shakhtar Donetsk
Brest
G. Sudakov
(9 Goals)
L. Ajorque
(6 Goals)
, 
A. Sima
(6 Goals)
Y. Konoplya
(2 Assists)
Shakhtar Donetsk and Brest Stats in Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest Key Points
- Brest have won four of their six Champions League matches.
- Shakhtar have lost four of their six fixtures in this competition.
- The French side has finished victorious in six of their last seven matches across all competitions.
- Shakhtar have only managed a single win in their last five games overall, losing three.
- Brest have scored at least two goals in their last three consecutive appearances.
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Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest Prediction
Shakhtar are already at a disadvantage here as this will be their first competitive fixture in over a month. Meanwhile, their opponents’ season is in full swing and they will come into this matchup with a ton of momentum.
Brest have overachieved and should be proud of their performance so far. However, they’ll know that the job isn’t done. With a tough match against Real Madrid awaiting them in the final matchday, we expect Brest to go for the full three points here. Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brest prediction: Brest wins the match.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest - Other Interesting Predictions
Brest to score first
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shakhtar Donetsk Brest
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 2.38 | 2.75 | +15.5% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.4 | +3.0% |
| Brest wins | 2.88 | 2.5 | -13.2% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shakhtar Donetsk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 36.4% (-5.7%)