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With Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle out of the picture for the San Antonio Spurs, the primary scoring role has fallen to De’Aaron Fox. That's why we're betting on him to make at least 23 points against the Memphis Grizzlies in this match prediction.
Fox’s increased role has seen him average 24.1 points in 11 games this season. Outside of averaging past 23 points this season, De’Aaron has also been quite consistent with clearing this line. He just dropped 25 in their defeat to the Timberwolves, which now makes it seven of his last eight games where he scored 23 or more points.
Overall, Fox has scored over 22.5 points in eight of his 11 games, and of those three games where he didn't, Wembanyama played two games and scored 30+ points in each. Without Wembanyama, Fox has made 23+ points in seven of eight games.
Fox also has notable scoring stats against the Grizzlies. Last time out, he scored 26 against Memphis in 33 minutes. And in his last seven games versus Memphis, Fox has scored 23+ points in five games.
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Who will win the San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Basketball game?
Our prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies match is: De’Aaron Fox scores over 22.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies game on 03/12/2025 of the current NBA season:
- San Antonio Spurs has a 56.56% chance to pick up the win against Memphis Grizzlies according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.5.
- There is a probability of 43.44% ⭐ for Memphis Grizzlies to win vs San Antonio Spurs with odds of 2.75 at Betway.
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Form
San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.696 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 1 |
|
9
|
0.458 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 2 |
San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Nov 2025 - NBA
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
25 Nov 2025 - NBA
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10 Nov 2025 - NBA
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4 Nov 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Dec 2025 - NBA
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23 Nov 2025 - NBA
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San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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San Antonio Spurs - Memphis Grizzlies Key Points
- Fox has averaged 24.1 points per game this season.
- Fox has scored 23+ points in eight of his 11 games this season.
- Of his last eight games, Fox has scored over 22.5 points in seven.
- Fox has cleared 23 points in five of his last seven games against Memphis.
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction
Fox is already looking like the highest point scorer in this game on paper. Of all the players likely to start for both teams, he's averaged the most points per game (24.1). Wembanyama’s absence has boosted Fox’s scoring role, and that has seen him score 23+ points in seven of the eight games he's played without Wembanyama.
And when you consider Fox’s scoring record versus the Grizzlies, this bet only looks more probable. Therefore, our San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction is that De’Aaron Fox scores over 22.5 points.