ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 7 Serbia
Novak Djokovic
05/09/2025 21:15
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in straight sets

 
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Second seed Carlos Alcaraz takes on seventh seed Novak Djokovic in a tantalising semi-final showdown at the US Open. This is the fifth time that the two are facing off at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Novak Djokovic defeated last year’s finalist in New York, Taylor Fritz, in four sets in the last round. The Serb, who is seeking his first Grand Slam final of the year, has struggled with injuries throughout the tournament. As a result, isn’t favoured to make the final.

Djokovic has lost in the semi-finals in all three majors so far this year. The former world number one has defeated Alcaraz five times previously, most recently in Melbourne at the start of the year. Making it to the last four has seen the 38-year-old move up to fourth in the live ranking.

Though he has been on the losing end most of the time against Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz arrives for this tie as the heavy favourite. He has been in incredible form in New York and throughout the campaign.

The Spaniard, who is yet to lose a set at Flushing Meadows, defeated Jiri Lehecka to stretch his current winning streak to 11 matches. Alcaraz, who had gone on a 24-match winning run before his current stretch, has compiled an incredible 59-6 record.

The one-time US Open champion won the French Open and then finished as runner-up at Wimbledon. Alcaraz’s current streak has seen him return to number one in the live ranking.

Who will win the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 05/09/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 39.67 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Novak Djokovic39.67 %
Carlos Alcaraz60.33 %

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Novak Djokovic Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Taylor Fritz

1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  0
Jan-Lennard Struff

30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Cameron Norrie

27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Zachary Svajda

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  0
Learner Tien

11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Novak Djokovic
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Jiri Lehecka
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Arthur Rinderknech
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Luciano Darderi
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
abort
Carlos Alcaraz

Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Novak Djokovic

67 %

Carlos Alcaraz

33 %

21 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

4 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Novak Djokovic
2 :  0
Carlos Alcaraz

14 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Novak Djokovic

18 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Novak Djokovic

20 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Novak Djokovic

16 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  2
Novak Djokovic
Compare Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Novak Djokovic - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Alcaraz is on an 11-match winning streak.
  2. Djokovic has lost in the semi-finals in three majors this year.
  3. Djokovic has lost four times this year against ATP top-five opposition.
  4. Two of Alcaraz’s three wins against Djokovic have come at Grand Slams.

Our Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Our prediction for Novak Djokovic v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets. This is a match worthy of being the deciding fixture of this year’s US Open. These two players have produced some stunning duels in the past.

Though Djokovic has a head-to-head advantage on Alcaraz, it is the Spaniard whom we have as the favourite to win. Alcaraz has won 11 consecutive matches and lost just six times all year, with over 60 matches contested. He is also yet to lose a set in New York. With Djokovic showing signs of wear and tear, we are likely to witness a dominant display from Alcaraz.

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in straight sets

 
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