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Second seed Carlos Alcaraz takes on seventh seed Novak Djokovic in a tantalising semi-final showdown at the US Open. This is the fifth time that the two are facing off at a major. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Novak Djokovic defeated last year’s finalist in New York, Taylor Fritz, in four sets in the last round. The Serb, who is seeking his first Grand Slam final of the year, has struggled with injuries throughout the tournament. As a result, isn’t favoured to make the final.
Djokovic has lost in the semi-finals in all three majors so far this year. The former world number one has defeated Alcaraz five times previously, most recently in Melbourne at the start of the year. Making it to the last four has seen the 38-year-old move up to fourth in the live ranking.
Though he has been on the losing end most of the time against Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz arrives for this tie as the heavy favourite. He has been in incredible form in New York and throughout the campaign.
The Spaniard, who is yet to lose a set at Flushing Meadows, defeated Jiri Lehecka to stretch his current winning streak to 11 matches. Alcaraz, who had gone on a 24-match winning run before his current stretch, has compiled an incredible 59-6 record.
The one-time US Open champion won the French Open and then finished as runner-up at Wimbledon. Alcaraz’s current streak has seen him return to number one in the live ranking.
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Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 05/09/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 39.67 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Novak Djokovic | 39.67 % |
Carlos Alcaraz | 60.33 % |
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
1 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
11 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
2 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
18 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
67 %
33 %
21 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
4 Aug 2024 - Olympic Tournament
14 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
18 Nov 2023 - ATP Finals
20 Aug 2023 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Jul 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
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Our prediction for Novak Djokovic v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in straight sets. This is a match worthy of being the deciding fixture of this year’s US Open. These two players have produced some stunning duels in the past.
Though Djokovic has a head-to-head advantage on Alcaraz, it is the Spaniard whom we have as the favourite to win. Alcaraz has won 11 consecutive matches and lost just six times all year, with over 60 matches contested. He is also yet to lose a set in New York. With Djokovic showing signs of wear and tear, we are likely to witness a dominant display from Alcaraz.