England - Premier League
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Newcastle United and Burnley are looking to return to winning ways when they face off next in the Premier League. Recent results posted by these teams leave them both in the bottom half of the Premier League standings. Hosts Newcastle are 12th, while Burnley are 19th after losing the second most games. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
The two sides’ runs so far direct at their season’s ambitions. Newcastle are eyeing a spot in European football, while Burnley’s remainder of the campaign will be directed towards survival. The hosts won 4-1 in the last meeting between the two sides.
This is a fixture that has lately favored Newcastle United, with the Magpies winning each of the last six meetings in the league. For Burnley, it gets even worse when they are playing away from home in this match. The last time they won at Newcastle was in 1976.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Burnley match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2025 between Newcastle and Burnley in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 76.42% for a win of Newcastle against Burnley with odds of 1.32 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Burnley is 12.41% with odds of 6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Newcastle with odds of 12 at Betfred.
Newcastle vs Burnley Form
Newcastle and Burnley's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
|
19
|
10 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -13 |
Newcastle and Burnley Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2024 - Premier League
30 Sept 2023 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
4 Dec 2021 - Premier League
25 Aug 2021 - Carabao Cup
11 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Burnley: Form Analysis
Newcastle United blew a good chance to rise into the top half last time out in their draw with Tottenham. The Magpies took the lead twice against Tottenham but lost it and in the end drew 2-2.
They missed the chance to record three straight wins in the league, and they will be looking to end this inconsistent run. Their last three matches were against teams above them in the standings, so Newcastle should be confident of stepping up here.
They are just four points below the European football slots. Having beaten three sides below them in their home league matches, a struggling Burnley should be manageable.
Newcastle won five of their last six home games against promoted sides.
Burnley are the worst performing among the promoted sides and will not want to know about Newcastle’s record against such teams. They were once again off-color in a 1-0 midweek home defeat against Crystal Palace.
That defeat was their fifth in a row. It left them four points behind the safe zone, meaning they have at least one more week in the bottom three.
Two of the Clarets’ three league wins this season have been against fellow promoted sides, Leeds and Sunderland. The other was against the bottom-placed Wolves.
A poor away run, having lost six of their last seven in the league, isn’t inspiring at all.
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Newcastle vs Burnley last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Pope
DefenderK. Trippier
E. Krafth
S. Botman
MidfielderY. Wissa
ForwardW. Osula
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
ForwardZ. Amdouni
Newcastle & Burnley Squad Analysis
For a few of the Newcastle United players, this will be a reunion of sorts. Harvey Barnes is a Burnley local, and he’ll want to extend his recent good record against the Clarets.
The winger has two goals and four assists in seven matches against Burnley. This season he has seven goals and an assist in all competitions.
Four of his goals came in the last five matches, and he will be confident of extending the same here. Two former Burnley men, Kieran Trippier and Nick Pope, will be absent with injury.
In Pope’s absence, Newcastle United have an able deputy, Aaron Ramsdale.
Jaidon Anthony has been one of the best players at Burnley this season. Playing as a winger, his five goal contributions tell the story.
He has, however, failed to score or assist in the last eight matches and will be hoping to break that streak here.
Operating in a forward line that also has Lyle Forster and Zian Flemming, who have a combined seven goal contributions, is almost a guarantee we’ll have goals here.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Burnley
H. Barnes
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Woltemade
(7 Goals)
Z. Flemming
(5 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(4 Assists)
Q. Hartman
(4 Assists)
Newcastle and Burnley Stats in Premier League
Newcastle - Burnley Key Points
- These two teams have conceded on average 3.28 goals in the league.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Burnley’s last five matches.
- Each of Newcastle United’s last five matches had three or more goals.
- Newcastle’s last five home league games produced a total of 15 goals.
- Burnley conceded three goals three times in the last five away matches.
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Our Newcastle vs Burnley Prediction
Newcastle United’s seven home matches have seen a total of 21 goals scored, averaging 2.5 per game. On the other hand, all of Burnley’s seven away matches produced over 2.5 goals. In five of those seven away matches, Burnley conceded three or more goals.
That, and the fact that this fixture rarely goes their way, are factors that make us believe this will be Newcastle United’s day. Aside from that, we could be heading to another high-scoring fixture as well. Our prediction for Newcastle United v Burnley is for more than 2.5 goals.
Newcastle vs Burnley - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
Newcastle United will definitely head into this game as the favorites, and their home form works perfectly for them. In the 12 home games they hosted this season, the Magpies have only lost three, and to formidable opposition.
They fell to Arsenal, Liverpool, and Barcelona. However, they have shown struggles in defence, only managing five clean sheets at home. Our second prediction for this match is for both teams to score.