Italy - Coppa Italia

Napoli
03/12/2025 18:00
Cagliari

Prediction :

 

Napoli leads at half time

 
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Napoli will be up against Cagliari in the round of 16 of the Coppa Italia as the Italian Serie A takes a break. The two sides have had contrasting runs ahead of this match, but both will be gunning for the win here. We have a prediction below.

Napoli overcame their injury woes to see off AS Roma 1-0 in Serie A, wrapping up a good week. They’ve now registered three straight wins and will hope to make it even better by booking a quarter-final slot in this competition.

Six times the winners in this competition, Napoli seek to clinch a first one since 2020. Last year, Napoli’s journey ended at this same stage after losing 3-1 to Lazio.

Cagliari have already lost to Napoli this season, and here they will be out to gain revenge. They fell 1-0 in their Serie A meeting and will be looking to avoid a repeat here.

The problem with that target is that they are winless in their last nine outings. The visitors suffered five defeats in those nine games. Their last win was in September, and it was in this particular competition.

That 4-1 win against Frosinone handed Cagliari their ticket to this round. Cagliari will hope for better luck this season, having lost 4-0 to Juventus at this same stage last season.

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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Cagliari?

Our prediction for the Napoli vs Cagliari match is: Napoli leads at half time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Napoli and Cagliari in Coppa Italia :

Napoli - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:

Napoli Cagliari Prediction Probability Odds
Napoli wins 58.25% 1.45 at Shangrila
Under 2.5 53.07% 1.98 at Stake
Both Team To Score 52.92% 2.35 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Napoli 29.59% 4.2 at Betfair

Napoli vs Cagliari Form

Napoli and Cagliari Last Matches

Napoli
Napoli Last matches
D D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Como 1907
W W D D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Como 1907

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  0
Napoli

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli
Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
D L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Cagliari

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Cagliari

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  2
Cagliari
W W L L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Bologna

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Inter Milan

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
4 :  1
Frosinone

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  0
Parma
W D D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Cagliari

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Cagliari

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  2
Cagliari

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Cagliari

19 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Cagliari

Napoli vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

67 %

Draw

33 %

Cagliari

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (home team)
0.5
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

23 May 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Cagliari

15 Sept 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  4
Napoli

25 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Napoli

16 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Cagliari

21 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Napoli

Napoli against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

32
V. Milinkovic-Savic
31
S. Beukema
5
J. Jesus
30
P. Mazzocchi
17
M. Olivera
26
A. Vergara
20
E. Elmas
37
L. Spinazzola
21
M. Politano
69
G. Ambrosino
27
L. Lucca
9
S. Kilicsoy
30
L. Pavoletti
15
J. Rodriguez
77
Z. Luvumbo
10
G. Gaetano
8
M. Adopo
14
A. Deiola
33
A. Obert
6
S. Luperto
18
A. Di Pardo
1
E. Caprile

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Cagliari

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

A. Meret

Midfielder

K. De Bruyne

B. Gilmour

F. Anguissa

Forward

R. Lukaku

Cagliari
Cagliari
Forward

A. Belotti

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato Cagliari
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Esposito (3 Goals) ,  Italy G. Borrelli (3 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil D. Neres (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy M. Palestra (3 Assists)

Napoli - Cagliari Key Points

  1. In Napoli’s last three matches, they led twice at halftime.
  2. Cagliari led at the break in just two of their last 10 outings.
  3. Napoli haven't trailed at halftime in any of their last eight games.
  4. Four times in Cagliari’s last nine matches, they were losing at halftime.
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Our Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction

Napoli head into this game off the back of an impressive win over the weekend. They beat Roma, who had started the weekend at the top of the league standings, and Napoli hauled themselves into joint leadership in Serie A. Going into this game, that win gives them the psychological edge, and three straight wins offer good momentum.

Their run in recent times is based on good starts to their matches and, largely, halftime leads. Cagliari, meanwhile, haven't led at the break in any of their last seven matches. Our prediction for Napoli v Cagliari is Napoli leads at half time.

Prediction :

 

Napoli leads at half time

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Cagliari

Napoli vs Cagliari Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Napoli wins 1.33 1.39 +4.5%
Draw 4.5 4.2 -6.7%
Cagliari wins 8 7.5 -6.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that: