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Chisinau will host a Group I World Cup Qualifier on Friday night as Moldova hosts Israel in an intriguing clash in Group I. Serghei Cleșcenco's Tricolorii have lost all three qualifiers thus far and face Ran Ben Shimon's Skyblue and Whites, who know a victory here would significantly enhance their chances of qualifying. Let's check out our prediction for this match!
Currently in Group I, Norway leads the way with 12 points from four games. Israel has six points from three games and lies second, with Italy third with three points from two games. Estonia are fourth with just three points from four matches, while Moldova are rooted at the bottom of the group with no points from their three games.
Moldova's form coming into this fixture is not good. They have lost four of their last five, drawing the other and that came away to Gibraltar. They were beaten 5-0 at home by Norway, 3-2 at home by Estonia, and then 2-0 away to Italy in their Group Games and also lost a friendly away to Poland 2-0 back in June.
In contrast, Israel has won four of their last five, their sole defeat a 4-2 home loss to Group leaders Norway. They have beaten Estonia home and away (2-1, 3-1) and also beat Belgium 1-0 in their last Nations League fixture. Their last match saw them earn a creditable 1-0 win away to Slovakia.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Moldova and Israel?
Our prediction for the Moldova vs Israel match is: Israel to win and Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Moldova and Israel in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.22% for a win of Moldova against Israel with odds of 6.25 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moldova vs Israel is 11.42% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Israel vs Moldova with odds of 1.62 at 22bet.
Moldova - Israel Prediction and Best Odds:
| Moldova Israel Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Israel wins | 54.36% | 1.62 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.85% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 2.17 at Vbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Israel/Israel | 20.14% | 2.4 at Ladbrokes |
Moldova vs Israel Form
Moldova and Israel's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
|
5
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -12 |
Moldova and Israel Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Moldova vs Israel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Oct 2021 - World Cup
31 Mar 2021 - World Cup
Moldova against Israel Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 1 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Moldova
Israel
I. Nicolaescu
(1 Goals)
,
M. Caimacov
(1 Goals)
D. Biton
(2 Goals)
,
M. Abu Fani
(2 Goals)
Moldova - Israel Key Points
- Moldova have lost their last four games, scoring two goals, conceding 12.
- Israel have won four of their last five games, including their last two away fixtures.
- Israel have won four of the last five against Moldova, drawing the other.
- All the last five games between Moldova and Israel have seen both teams score.
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Our Moldova vs Israel Prediction
Our prediction for the Moldova vs. Israel Group I World Cup Qualifier is: Israel to win and Both Teams to Score - Yes.
It is fair to say that Moldova have proven to be the whipping boys of Group I thus far and their recent record, and their record against Israel suggests that this is likely to continue here. Israel come into this fixture knowing a win would heap pressure on Italy to win their games in hand. Israel do score goals, especially away from home, but also concede, so while the visitors should win, this game looks a good bet for both teams scoring too.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Moldova Israel
| Moldova vs Israel | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova wins | 7 | 5.5 | -21.4% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.2 | -3.0% |
| Israel wins | 1.42 | 1.55 | +9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Israel is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.4% and is now 64.5% (-5.9%)