World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Mauritania return from the African Nations Championship to a home match against Togo in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. These two are in Group B, where Togo are fourth and Mauritania sixth. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Mauritania won twice in their four games at the CHAN finals in East Africa. They come here with some sort of momentum and will be gunning for a first win in this pool.
From their six group matches, they only managed two draws, and the rest were defeats. Getting a slot even as runners-up borders on the unlikely, and the hosts are only participating as a formality.
Togo are also winless in this group, but at least they have avoided defeat four times. With four points, they still have a slim chance of at least finishing second.
That, though, will call on the Sparrows to win all their remaining matches. Togo’s maiden participation at the World Cup was in 2006. Their chances of a return to that stage can stay alive with an improvement in their attack.
The visitors have only scored four times in the six qualification matches. They failed to score in five of their last 10 away matches. The first time these nations met, the match ended 2-2, but we don’t expect a repeat here.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
What is the prediction for the football match between Mauritania and Togo?
Our prediction for the Mauritania vs Togo match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Mauritania and Togo in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.99% for a win of Mauritania against Togo with odds of 2.92 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mauritania vs Togo is 26.33% with odds of 3.19 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Togo vs Mauritania with odds of 2.8 at Unibet.
Mauritania - Togo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mauritania Togo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mauritania wins | 44.99% | 2.92 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.43% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mauritania | 20.82% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Mauritania vs Togo Form
Mauritania and Togo's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 |
|
5
|
4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 |
Mauritania and Togo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
7 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Mauritania vs Togo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Mauritania - Togo Key Points
- Mauritania’s last four matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- In five of their last eight home matches, Mauritania failed to score.
- Mauritania’s last nine home outings produced under 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Togo’s last 10 away games had under 2.5 goals registered.
- In half of their last 10 matches, Togo failed to score.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
Our Mauritania vs Togo Prediction
Two nations struggling in attack face off here. Togo, on paper, should be the favorites, but they have failed to record an away win in their last seven outings and also haven't scored in the last three. Generally, their matches have been low-scoring.
Seeking to end a winless run, they meet a Mauritania side on a high after back-to-back wins at the CHAN finals. The hosts will be motivated for this, but they also have a poor scoring record. We will go to the goals market in this game, and our prediction for Mauritania v Togo is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mauritania Togo
| Mauritania vs Togo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mauritania wins | 2.88 | 2.9 | +0.7% |
| Draw | 2.9 | 3.1 | +6.9% |
| Togo wins | 2.4 | 2.55 | +6.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Mauritania is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.7% and is now 34.5% (-0.2%)