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Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open
Both of these players are attempting to reach their first Australian Open final. Second seed Iga Swiatek takes on the 19th-seeded Madison Keys for a place in the title decider of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam. Who'll be a finalist? Read our match prediction below.
This is only her second Australian Open semi-final, the other being in 2022. The Pole has been in tremendous form in this tournament. Five wins have come with only 14 games lost and half of those came in the first round.
The quarter-finals saw her beat eighth-seed Emma Navarro 6-1 6-2. Swiatek is back up to world number one in the live rankings but will only stay there if getting a better result than Aryna Sabalenka in this tournament.
Madison Keys is in her third Australian Open semi-final and her first since 2022. The American has already won one title this year with success in Adelaide. It's been a tougher route to the last four for the 29-year-old who is tenth in the live rankings.
Keys has had to go to a final set three times so far. That includes her quarter-final against Elina Svitolina after losing the first set. Only one of her five previous matches against Swiatek has been won and that was three years ago.
We tip Swiatek to win in straight sets.
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Who will win the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek game on 23/01/2025 of the current WTA Australian Open season:
- Madison Keys has a 29.45% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 5.25.
- Iga Swiatek has a 70.55% probability of winning facing Madison Keys ⭐ with odds of 1.23 at 1xbet.
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Madison Keys has a 29.45 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 29.45 % |
| Iga Swiatek | 70.55 % |
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Form
Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
22 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
20 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
18 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
16 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
14 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
11 Jan 2025 - WTA Adelaide
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
22 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
20 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
18 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
16 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
13 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
5 Jan 2025 - United Cup
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
14 May 2024 - WTA Rome
2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Swiatek has only lost 14 games in her five matches in this tournament.
- Swiatek leads Keys 4-1 in previous meetings, all her wins coming in straight sets.
- Eight of Swiatek's last nine wins have come in straight sets.
- Keys has had to go to a final set three times in this tournament and played nearly three hours more than Swiatek.
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Our Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Iga Swiatek continues her bid to win this title for the first time and return to world number one. A win here would achieve the latter if Aryna Sabalenka were to lose to Paula Badosa in the other semi-final.
The Pole has been dominating her opponents in this tournament with only five games lost in her last seven sets played. This will be her toughest match to date against an in-form Madison Keys who loves this tournament but it's hard to oppose Swiatek.
Our Madison Keys v Iga Swiatek prediction is Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets.