France - Ligue 1
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Lyon’s opportunity to post a sixth straight win is here. Sitting sixth, they welcome 11th-placed Brest in a Sunday Ligue 1 game. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
The new year has started well for Lyon, who have beaten top sides Lille and Monaco in the league and cup. With goals from Afonso Moreira and Endrick, Lyon progressed to the French Cup’s last 16.
Attention now turns to the league, where they are looking to rise into the top three. They are two points shy, and Lille’s loss to PSG means they could at least start a new week in the top four. Lyon won their last two home matches against Brest.
Brest have never won an away game at Lyon, and yet they come into this one with a poor away run generally. The visitors started their year on a winning note, beating Auxerre 2-0 for their sixth win of the campaign.
They’ve still lost more matches than they have won, courtesy of a shaky start to the season. Brest, however, will be confident coming into this one, as four of their six wins came from their last five league games.
Their biggest challenge has come in away games; out of their 22 points, Brest managed just seven on the road.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Brest?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Brest match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Lyon and Brest in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.04% for a win of Lyon against Brest with odds of 1.73 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Brest is 16.74% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs Lyon with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
Lyon - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Brest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 59.04% | 1.73 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.27% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | 1.82 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 27.89% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Lyon vs Brest Form
Lyon and Brest's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
30 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +8 |
|
10
|
22 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | -4 |
Lyon and Brest Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
23 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Brest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Da Silva
R. Descamps
DefenderH. Hateboer
MidfielderA. Karabec
M. De Carvalho
K. Merah
O. Mangala
ForwardR. Himbert
A. Gomes Rodriguez
R. Majecki
DefenderD. Guindo
M. Diaz
L. Zogbe
MidfielderK. Doumbia
H. Makalou
E. Ebimbe
ForwardP. Mboup
Missing players
M. Niakhate
MidfielderR. Ghezzal
C. Tolisso
E. Nuamah
ForwardM. Fofana
J. Le Cardinal
ForwardM. Balde
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Brest
P. Sulc
(8 Goals)
R. Del Castillo
(6 Goals)
A. Moreira
(4 Assists)
L. Ajorque
(5 Assists)
Lyon and Brest Stats in Ligue 1
Lyon - Brest Key Points
- At home in the last 10 matches, Lyon won eight.
- Lyon have posted five straight wins ahead of this game.
- Brest lost five times in eight away league matches this season.
- Brest have in the league this season lost more than they’ve won.
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Our Lyon vs Brest Prediction
Lyon will be at home, where they’ve posted eight wins in their last 10 matches. In this game, they are going for a sixth straight win in all competitions. It will take a lot from Brest to stop this momentum, especially as they have a poor record away from home and generally in the season.
The visitors are still paying for their shaky start to the campaign and away to Lyon; head-to-head records haven't worked in their favor. Our prediction for Lyon v Brest is that Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Brest
| Lyon vs Brest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 1.69 | 1.73 | +2.4% |
| Draw | 4.11 | 4.1 | -0.2% |
| Brest wins | 5.58 | 5.4 | -3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 57.8% (-1.4%)