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Luxembourg will begin their 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers campaign playing host to Northern Ireland in Group A on Thursday. The Red Lions will aim for a winning start to the competition as they lock horns with the Green and White Army. Check out our prediction for the match below.
Luxembourg have never qualified for the FIFA World Cup. The Red Lions renew the challenge yet again to end their wait for an appearance in the tournament on Thursday.
However, the prospects aren't looking good for the Luxembourgers heading into the competition. A major shift in their dugout in August saw long-serving former manager Luc Holtz resign from his role as head coach after 15 years. Holtz’s replacement, Jeff Strasser, faces a race against time to assemble his perfect squad for this match. Strasser also faces the challenge of having to overturn the team’s six-match winless run in competitive matches.
It's almost four decades since Northern Ireland qualified for the FIFA World Cup. They came close to breaking this deadlock in the 2018 qualifiers before losing the playoffs to Switzerland on a 1-0 aggregate.
Grouped alongside higher-rated sides Germany and Slovakia, the Green and White Army are in for another tough qualifiers campaign and an opening win could be a big boost. They are unbeaten in their last four competitive matches.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland?
Our prediction for the Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland match is: Northern Ireland win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2025 between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.12% for a win of Luxembourg against Northern Ireland with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland is 34.65% with odds of 3.15 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg with odds of 2.38 at 22bet.
Luxembourg - Northern Ireland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luxembourg Northern Ireland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland wins | 35.23% | 2.38 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.45% | 1.79 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 2.33 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Northern Ireland/Northern Ireland | 13.88% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland Form
Luxembourg and Northern Ireland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Luxembourg and Northern Ireland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
Luxembourg against Northern Ireland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Luxembourg
Northern Ireland
A. Dardari
(1 Goals)
J. Reid
(1 Goals)
,
S. Charles
(1 Goals)
,
J. Devenny
(1 Goals)
Luxembourg - Northern Ireland Key Points
- Luxembourg are winless in their last six competitive matches.
- Luxembourg have lost three of their last six competitive matches.
- Northern Ireland are unbeaten in their last four competitive matches, winning two.
- Northern Ireland have won three of their last four encounters with Luxembourg.
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Our Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland Prediction
Luc Holtz’s resignation is an added setback for Luxembourg on top of their poor run of form. Jeff Strasser has barely settled in the role and is not likely to assemble a strong squad enough to offset Michael O'Neill’s side.
Additionally, the Luxembourgers haven't been fortunate against their Northern Irish counterparts in their recent encounters who are also in a better recent form. Given these indicators, we expect Northern Ireland to secure victory in this match. Our Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland prediction is Northern Ireland win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luxembourg Northern Ireland
| Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg wins | 3.75 | 3.8 | +1.3% |
| Draw | 3 | 2.8 | -6.7% |
| Northern Ireland wins | 2.1 | 2.25 | +7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Northern Ireland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 44.4% (-3.2%)