England - Premier League
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High-flying Sunderland travel to Merseyside to take on Premier League defending champions Liverpool this Wednesday. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2017; on any other ordinary matchday, not much attention would be placed on this game. It is different this time, though, and below we have a prediction for the match to be staged at Anfield.
With 13 games played, only one point separates the two sides in the standings. Sunderland, who have been the surprise package this season, have the advantage over their eighth-placed hosts and currently occupy sixth spot.
A win for either team here could see them move into the top four. Sunderland have fared better than Liverpool lately, yet they aren't the bookmakers’ best bet to win. This honor goes to Liverpool, who are having one of the worst title defenses in English top-flight history. The Reds are, however, coming off a win and have something to build on.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Sunderland match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Liverpool and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.08% for a win of Liverpool against Sunderland with odds of 1.4 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Sunderland is 16.82% with odds of 5.64 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Liverpool with odds of 8.5 at Betfred.
Liverpool - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 46.08% | 1.4 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.63% | 1.65 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 22.4% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs Sunderland Form
Liverpool and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
23 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
|
10
|
23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Liverpool and Sunderland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jan 2017 - Premier League
26 Nov 2016 - Premier League
Liverpool - Sunderland: Form Analysis
Liverpool got some much-needed reprieve over the weekend with a win away to struggling West Ham United. That win snapped a three-game losing streak and lifted them back into the top 10.
Arne Slot’s reigning champions are having a disappointing title defence and so far have managed seven wins. With the remaining six games ending in defeat, the Reds find themselves nine points off the pace.
They have accumulated 21 points and are tied with eighth-placed Manchester United. Liverpool haven’t won back-to-back league matches since starting the season with five successive victories.
Liverpool have lost nine of their last 13 matches.
Sunderland are having an exciting season on their return to the top flight, and not even they could have envisioned such a start. The Black Cats have surprised everyone.
They have won six matches, which is the same number of victories combined as the other two teams they were promoted alongside.
With another four games ending in a share of the spoils, Sunderland has racked up 22 points. They are firmly in the running for a place in Europe and will be eager to showcase their credentials against the defending champions.
Regis Le Bris’s men got back to winning ways last time out with an entertaining 3-2 victory at home over Bournemouth.
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Liverpool against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
J. Frimpong
C. Bradley
A. Alese
L. Hjelde
MidfielderH. Diarra
Liverpool & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Alexander Isak scored his first Premier League goal for Liverpool in the win over West Ham. It should lift some weight off the Premier League’s most expensive signing.
He will be looking to build momentum against Wednesday’s visitors and could be a game-changer. Cody Gakpo was also on target against the Hammers.
Now with four goals, he is tied for the most goals in the league for Liverpool with Mohammed Salah. Liverpool are not short of firepower upfront, as Hugo Ekitike and Federico Chiesa have added five goals between them in the league.
Brobbey has scored two point-winning goals, against Arsenal and Bournemouth.
Brian Brobbey scored the winner against Bournemouth last time out, his second goal of the season. The Dutchman has made it a habit of scoring late goals for Sunderland, with his other strike coming three matchdays ago against Arsenal.
In both instances, Brobbey came off the bench, and he could be used similarly here. Meanwhile, goals have dried up for Wilson Isidor in recent outings, but he still remains Sunderland’s top scorer with four goals.
Others to look out for are Granit Xhaka, Bertrand Traore, and Enzo Le Fee.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Sunderland
H. Ekitike
(7 Goals)
W. Isidor
(4 Goals)
C. Gakpo
(5 Assists)
G. Xhaka
(4 Assists)
Liverpool - Sunderland Key Points
- Liverpool have conceded in seven of their last 10 games.
- Liverpool have scored 20 goals in the Premier League.
- Seven of the last nine visitors against Liverpool scored.
- Sunderland have scored 13 goals in 17 league outings.
- Sunderland haven’t kept a clean sheet in five consecutive fixtures.
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Our Liverpool vs Sunderland Prediction
Only one point separates these two teams in the standings. With both targeting European qualification, we should be set for an exciting matchup. Liverpool are the favorites to win, but Sunderland have been the season’s surprise package.
Both teams are above-average attacking teams, and seeing them get on the scoresheet is very likely. Liverpool has one of the most porous rearguards, while Sunderland’s rigidity at the back has been more pliable in recent weeks. Our prediction for Liverpool v Sunderland is BTTS.
Liverpool vs Sunderland - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw
Sunderland have proven to be a difficult team to get the better of and have lost just twice in their last 11 outings. With Liverpool struggling for form, we see Sunderland once again being tough to crack. Our second prediction for this game is therefore a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Sunderland
| Liverpool vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.38 | 1.36 | -1.4% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5.5 | +22.2% |
| Sunderland wins | 8 | 7 | -12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 73.5% (1.1%)