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A bottom-of-the-table clash in Group G in the UEFA 2026 World Cup Qualifiers will see Lithuania play host to Malta on Thursday. Can the Tricolors boost their chances of reaching their first-ever World Cup with a win against the Reds? Check out our prediction for the match below.
Lithuania began their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign with a 1-0 defeat to third-placed Poland. Barcelona forward Robert Lewandowski scored late in the second half to inflict defeat on the visitors.
However, they proved their mettle in their second fixture, holding group leaders Finland to a draw in a four-goal thriller. This was followed by a barren draw away against Malta in their last outing – a result which left them fourth in the standings with two points. They could close the gap at the top to three points with a win on Thursday.
Bottom-placed Malta will look to turn around their misfortunes in Group G heading into this match. They suffered an excruciating 8-0 defeat against Netherlands in their last match and are also winless in their four fixtures in the group (D1, L3).
Emilio De Leo's side could suffer a final blow to their World Cup hopes with a fourth defeat against Malta on Thursday. They are winless in their last three encounters with the Tricolors (D1, L2).
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Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Malta match is: Lithuania score between one and two goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2025 between Lithuania and Malta in World Cup :
Lithuania Malta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Lithuania wins | 42.08% | 1.67 at 22bet |
Under 2.5 | 65.22% | 1.92 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 2.68 at Betsson |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lithuania | 15.31% | 4.7 at Vbet |
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
![]() |
3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 |
5
![]() |
2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -11 |
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Oct 2017 - World Cup
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
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Lithuania and Malta are the whipping boys in Group G. The two teams have slim chances of challenging the 'big three' in the group for a World Cup spot. However, a win for either side in this match could go a long way to shape their fortunes.
After playing out a goalless draw in the reverse fixture away in Malta, we expect Lithuania to leverage home advantage and at least score a goal in this match. They have recorded a moderate goalscoring record when playing at home. Our Lithuania vs Malta prediction is Lithuania score between one and two goals.
Lithuania vs Malta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Lithuania wins | 2.1 | 1.57 | -25.2% |
Draw | 2.88 | 3.5 | +21.5% |
Malta wins | 4.2 | 7 | +66.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that: