England - Premier League
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Chelsea will look to continue their push to challenge Premier League leaders as they travel to Leeds United for a matchday 14 fixture of the English Premier League season. This match to be played on Wednesday at Elland Road between the 18th-placed Whites and the third-placed Blues comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 11 points (W3, D2, L8), Leeds start this round in the relegation zone, albeit only on goal difference. Chelsea’s 24 points (W7, D3, L3) start this round one point behind Manchester City but only ahead of Aston Villa on goal difference.
Both teams are coming off thrilling encounters, with Leeds falling in the late stages against Manchester City, while Chelsea earned a hard-fought draw against leaders Arsenal. They can’t afford to drop more points, especially against a side in the lower half of the table. Can the hosts build on the draw against Manchester City and surprise the visitors? Will the Blues get back to winning ways and stay on the coattails of the leaders? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Chelsea match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Leeds and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.75% for a win of Leeds against Chelsea with odds of 4.25 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Chelsea is 21.72% with odds of 3.7 at William Hill.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Leeds with odds of 2.02 at Shangrila.
Leeds - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 61.52% | 2.02 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.05% | 2 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 25.78% | 5.2 at Unibet |
Leeds vs Chelsea Form
Leeds and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
|
16
|
15 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -10 |
Leeds and Chelsea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
Leeds vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
21 Aug 2022 - Premier League
11 May 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
13 Mar 2021 - Premier League
Leeds - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Leeds lost 3-2 away at Manchester City last weekend despite coming back from two goals down, with the deciding goal conceded beyond regular time. It was their fourth defeat in a row and sixth across their last seven league games.
This form suggests why Leeds have been in the relegation zone, although their home record has been slightly better. The Whites have two wins, draws, and losses each in their six Premier League home games this season.
Chelsea won nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions.
This sequence saw them lose only once, to Sunderland in the league, while drawing twice. One of those stalemates was a 1-1 home draw against leaders Arsenal at the weekend, where they played with a man down for nearly an hour.
The Blues have won five of their last seven Premier league fixtures, losing only once. They still are among the closest challengers for Arsenal, and driving their charge is their away form. Chelsea have won their last three away league games and are likely to add to that count here.
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Leeds against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
S. Longstaff
ForwardD. James
L. Colwill
MidfielderD. Essugo
R. Lavia
M. Caicedo
Leeds & Chelsea Squad Analysis
James Justin is unlikely to feature for Leeds after hobbling off in their previous game. Sean Longstaff is also likely to be out for the home team, while Anton Stach and Noah Okafor are pushing for starts.
The hosts are likely to stick to their tested 4-3-3 formation with Lukas Nmecha leading the line. The German forward has four goals in the Premier League, while the forgotten English striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin has two goals to his name.
Calvert-Lewin has three career goals against Chelsea.
The visitors will be without Moises Caicedo, who will be suspended after the red card against Arsenal. Cole Palmer made the substitutes' bench in that game and could be up for selection here.
Joao Pedro could line up as the striker with Enzo Fernandez slotting behind him and Alejandro Garnacho manning the left flank. Watch out for the dynamic front three, as Pedro, Enzo, and Pedro Neto all have four goals each in this Premier League season.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Chelsea
L. Nmecha
(4 Goals)
, 
D. Calvert-Lewin
(4 Goals)
Estevao
(5 Goals)
, 
E. Fernandez
(5 Goals)
, 
P. Neto
(5 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(2 Assists)
,
S. Longstaff
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bogle
(2 Assists)
,
A. Stach
(2 Assists)
R. James
(8 Assists)
Leeds - Chelsea Key Points
- Seven of the last nine Premier League matches involving Leeds saw BTTS.
- Leeds saw both teams score goals in their last four home league games.
- Six of Chelsea’s last ten league fixtures saw both teams score goals.
- Chelsea scored in all six of their away league games this season, conceding in three of those.
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Our Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction
A hard-fought 1-1 draw against Arsenal could have been better for Chelsea if not for Moises Caicedo’s red card. The Blues are still a tough team to face, as only Sunderland defeated them since the start of October. Leeds were valiant against Manchester City but were eventually beaten 3-2. They are still in the relegation zone, but the hosts are showing signs of putting up a fight, at least at home.
This game could be a test of defences of both teams, and that’s why our Leeds vs Chelsea prediction is BTTS.
Leeds vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Chelsea to win and BTTS
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Chelsea
| Leeds vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 4.33 | 3.9 | -9.9% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea wins | 1.75 | 1.95 | +11.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 51.3% (-5.9%)