Europe - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
21/10/2025 18:45
Pafos FC

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Both of these clubs are still waiting for their first win in this league phase. This Champions League game sees bottom-of-the-table Kairat host Pafos who are 32nd after their first couple of games. Here's our match prediction.

It was always going to be tough for these two clubs and the first two games have illustrated that. Kairat are still waiting to earn their first point but are only two points adrift of the play-off positions. After two defeats, they will see this home game as a good chance to get some points.

Pafos at least have one point and will also have this down on their list as a fixture in which they can earn some points. Their next two games in this league phase are both at home so they could yet progress as the clubs plays at this stage of the Champions League for the first time in their history.

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What is the prediction for the football match between Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC?

Our prediction for the Kairat Almaty vs Pafos FC match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2025 between Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC in Champions League :

Kairat Almaty vs Pafos FC Form

Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
32
Pafos FC
Pafos FC
1 2 0 1 1 -4
36
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
0 2 0 0 2 -8

Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC Last Matches

Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Kyzylzhar SK
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

5 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
5 :  0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan

30 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

22 Sep 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
3 :  1
FC Zhenis

18 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

14 Sep 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Aktobe
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
5 :  0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan

30 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  5
Real Madrid

22 Sep 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
3 :  1
FC Zhenis

14 Sep 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

26 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Kairat Almaty
0 :  0
Celtic

16 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Kairat Almaty
2 :  3
FC Yelimai
W L D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Kyzylzhar SK
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

18 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

31 Aug 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

FC Okzhetpes
0 :  1
Kairat Almaty

20 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Celtic
0 :  0
Kairat Almaty

12 Aug 2025 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
1 :  0
Kairat Almaty

26 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

Tobol Kostanay
1 :  3
Kairat Almaty
Pafos FC
Pafos FC Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
4 :  0
Ethnikos Achnas

5 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
2 :  4
Pafos FC

30 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

27 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
2 :  1
Olympiakos Nicosia

24 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
3 :  0
Enosis Neon Paralimni

21 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Omonia Aradippou
0 :  2
Pafos FC
D L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
4 :  0
Ethnikos Achnas

30 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

27 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
2 :  1
Olympiakos Nicosia

24 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
3 :  0
Enosis Neon Paralimni

13 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Pafos FC
0 :  1
Apollon Limassol

26 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Pafos FC
1 :  1
Red Star Belgrade
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca
2 :  4
Pafos FC

21 Sep 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Omonia Aradippou
0 :  2
Pafos FC

17 Sep 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
0 :  0
Pafos FC

31 Aug 2025 - Cypriot First Division

Apoel Nicosia
0 :  1
Pafos FC

19 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Red Star Belgrade
1 :  2
Pafos FC

5 Aug 2025 - Champions League

Dynamo Kyiv
0 :  1
Pafos FC

Kairat Almaty - Pafos FC: Form Analysis

Kairat had to win four qualifying ties to reach this stage of the Champions League. A tense penalty shoot out was needed to get past Celtic in the play-off round and make it into the league phase for the first time. They kept a clean sheet in all four home fixtures.

Tough start for Kairat.

They've found life pretty tough in their first couple of games. 'The Team of the Nation' lost 4-1 at Sporting and followed that up with a 5-0 home thrashing by Real Madrid. Those two defeats have left them bottom of the table, one of four teams yet to earn a point.

Pafos are playing in only their second European campaign, the other in the 2024-25 season when getting to the last 16 of the Conference League. Like their opponents, this is their first time in this stage of the Champions League. 

The Cypriots made their way through three qualifying rounds. In the league phase so far, they drew 0-0 at Olympiakos in their opening game but were no match against Bayern Munich, losing at home 5-1.

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Kairat Almaty & Pafos FC Squad Analysis

Kairat have selection problems ahead of this Champions League game agaInst Pafos. They have conceded nine goals in their first two games in this league phase and their goalie Alexandr Alexandr Zarutsky is doubtful for this game. 

If he doesn't play, then it'll be Termirian Anarbekov will replace him. He's also only just back from injury. 

Satpae is in form for Kairat.

They will be hoping for some goals from Dastan Satpae who is in top form at present with four goals in as many games.  With both their opening games having been lost, Kairat need to get something from this game.

Pedrao is out for Pafos due to a cruciate ligament injury. Anderson Silva is expected to be up front for the visitors. After earning a point at Olympiakos, they will be hopeful of at least coming home from Kazakhstan with a point.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Kairat Almaty
CD Huachipato Pafos FC
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Edmilson (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal D. Quina (4 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Ricardinho (1 Assists)
Best assists

Kairat Almaty and Pafos FC Stats in Champions League

Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Pafos FC
Pafos FC
30%
Wins
50%
30%
Draw
38%
40%
Losses
13%
2.1
Total goals per match
2.13
0.8
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.3
Goals conceded per match
1
30%
Over 2.5
25%
70%
Under 2.5
75%
20%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sheet
50%

Kairat Almaty - Pafos FC Key Points

  1. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the four away European games Pafos have played.
  2. Seven of the last ten European games played by Pafos have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  3. Five of Kairat's last seven home European games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Of those seven games, Kairat kept a clean sheet in five of them but only once twice scored more than one goal themselves.
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Our Kairat Almaty vs Pafos FC Prediction

A win for either club would be a major boost for their hopes of reaching the Champions League knockout stages. Kairat have suffered two heavy losses so far but Pafos aren't quite Sporting and Real Madrid.

Pafos have at least earned one point from their two games with a goalless draw at Olympiakos. As expected, they were then soundly beaten at home by Bayern Munich. This will be closer and our Kairat Almaty v Pafos prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Kairat Almaty vs Pafos FC - Other Interesting Predictions

Pafos to win

Odds 2.75
Pafos have won three of their last four away European games and conceded just one goal.
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