Europe - EuroBasket
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Italy welcomes Cyprus in the final game of their Group C FIBA Eurobasket encounter in what should be a routine victory for the Italians and the 20th loss in a row for Cyprus men. See our best Italy vs Cyprus match prediction below.
Cyprus's struggles in opening quarters have become their defining weakness throughout recent competitions. They've lost the first quarter by 9+ points in three of their four group stage games, extending a concerning pattern that's seen them fall behind by this margin early in eight of their last ten contests. Even outside friendlies, opposing teams have covered this 9-point first quarter spread in six of Cyprus's last seven games.
Italy's recent 67-63 victory over Spain was a grind-it-out affair that showcased their championship mentality, but they should be hungry for points in their Cyprus matchup. Italy is now tied with Greece for first place, and with a +46 difference, only a blowout against Cyprus can secure top spot for them.
Although Italy and Cyprus have not met in recent years, the last time Italy faced similar odds (against Bahrain), they won the first quarter by 10 points and cruised to a 114-53 victory. Also, Cyprus just suffered their 19th consecutive defeat, falling 93-61 to Georgia in a result that extended their miserable run to 23 losses from their last 24 games.
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Who will win the Italy vs Cyprus Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Italy vs Cyprus match is: Italy -8.5 1st Quarter Spread.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Cyprus game on 04/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- Italy has a 87.36% chance to pick up the win against Cyprus according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.01.
- There is a probability of 12.64% ⭐ for Cyprus to win vs Italy with odds of 41 at William Hill.
Italy vs Cyprus Form
Italy and Cyprus's standings in the EuroBasket
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
|
6
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Italy and Cyprus Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
0/4 (0%)
4/4 (100%)
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
24 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
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Italy - Cyprus Key Points
- Cyprus has lost the first quarter by 9+ points in three of their four group stage games.
- Cyprus has lost the first quarter by 9+ points in eight of their last ten games across all competitions.
- Outside friendlies, opposing teams have covered the 9-point first quarter spread in six of Cyprus's last seven games.
- When Italy faced similar odds against Bahrain, they won the first quarter by 10 points in a 114-53 victory.
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Our Italy vs Cyprus Prediction
First quarter execution often decides the tempo of games, and with Italy looking for a blowout, we expect a significant points margin very early on. With group positioning potentially depending on bucket difference, Italy should come out aggressive from the opening tip against opposition that's been buried early in games consistently.
Cyprus's inability to compete in opening quarters gives Italy every opportunity to build the kind of commanding lead that secures both the spread and sets up a comfortable victory. Hence, our Italy vs Cyprus prediction is Italy -8.5 1st Quarter Spread.