Germany - Bundesliga
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The Nordderby will be played out in the Bundesliga after more than seven years, as matchday 13 pits Northern German rivals Hamburg and Werder Bremen. This match on Sunday at Volksparkstadion between the 13th-placed ‘Die Rothosen’ and the ninth-placed ‘Die Werderaner’ comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Hamburg’s 12 points (W3, D3, L6) see them start this round four points above the relegation zone. Werder have 16 points (W4, D4, L4) and start this round six points adrift of the European qualification places.
Hamburg lost to Holstein at home in the midweek DFB Pokal competition but won 2-1 at home against Stuttgart last matchday. That came via a stoppage-time goal despite being reduced to ten men and ended a five-game winless run (D1, L4).
They have had better results at home, winning three of their last five league fixtures played at this venue (D1, L1).
Bremen drew 1-1 at home against Koln last weekend, extending their impressive recent run. Since the start of October, the visitors have been beaten in just one league game (W3, D3). That said, they are still not far from the relegation zone, with only eight points their gap to the bottom three.
Their away form needs an uplift though, as Bremen lost three of their six league trips this season (W1, D2).
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Werder Bremen?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Werder Bremen match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2025 between Hamburg and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.04% for a win of Hamburg against Werder Bremen with odds of 2.4 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Werder Bremen is 26.89% with odds of 3.7 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Werder Bremen vs Hamburg with odds of 3.07 at 888Starz.
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Form
Hamburg and Werder Bremen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -5 |
|
13
|
12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 |
Hamburg and Werder Bremen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
18 Sept 2021 - 2. Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Werder Bremen last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
W. Omari
D. Elfadli
MidfielderB. Jatta
ForwardY. Poulsen
M. Weiser
M. Wober
J. Malatini
F. Agu
N. Stark
MidfielderO. Deman
ForwardS. Musah
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Werder Bremen
R. Philippe
(3 Goals)
J. Stage
(4 Goals)
M. Muheim
(2 Assists)
Y. Sugawara
(3 Assists)
Hamburg and Werder Bremen Stats in Bundesliga
Hamburg - Werder Bremen Key Points
- Only two teams have scored fewer goals than Hamburg’s 11 in this league campaign.
- Five of Hamburg’s last seven matches saw under 2.5 goals during regular time.
- In three of their last four home matches in all competitions, Hamburg saw fewer than three goals scored.
- In four of Werder Bremen’s last five league games, two or fewer goals were scored.
- Werder’s last two league trips saw exactly two goals scored each time.
- Three of the last four matches between these sides, played between 2017 and 2022, saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction
The Northern Derby sees the two sides separated by just four points and the threat of sliding down the table imminent. Hamburg posted a much-wanted 2-1 win over Stuttgart last matchday and are looking to build on that to move away from the relegation zone. Werder Bremen haven’t had much success in terms of consistent wins but have been stubborn with just one defeat since the start of October.
Goals could be at a premium, as both teams have struggled in the final third recently. Our Hamburg vs Werder Bremen prediction is less than 2.5 goals.