World - World Cup
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Greece haven't been to a major tournament in more than a decade, but they have the chance to contest for one now. In the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, they are drawn in Group C, where they start off with a home match against Belarus. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
A strong run of form coming into these qualifiers should have the home fans confident. The hosts are on three straight wins ahead of this game and have lost just twice in the last 11.
In each of their last three matches, Greece scored at least three times, while they’ve kept three clean sheets in their last five outings.
The latest of Belarus’ outings was a game against Russia, which they lost 4-1. That defeat brought to an end a run of three straight wins. Though these wins came against much weaker opposition, Belarus will feel inspired, having also beaten Greece the last time they faced off.
That, however, was nine years ago, and much has changed since. Such changes include a failure to beat a top 50 nation since that 2016 win. The visitors also have a poor record in World Cup qualification, losing 11 of the last 12 such matches.
The dream of participating in the World Cup for the first time is dependent on breaking such a run.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and Belarus?
Our prediction for the Greece vs Belarus match is: Greece to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Greece and Belarus in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.4% for a win of Greece against Belarus with odds of 1.17 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs Belarus is 15.84% with odds of 7.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Belarus vs Greece with odds of 21 at Bet365.
Greece - Belarus Prediction and Best Odds:
| Greece Belarus Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Greece wins | 53.4% | 1.17 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.77% | 2.33 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 23.81% | 2.82 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Greece | 30.66% | 4.2 at Betfair |
Greece vs Belarus Form
Greece and Belarus's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 |
Greece and Belarus Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Greece against Belarus Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Greece
Belarus
T. Bakasetas
(1 Goals)
,
D. Kourbelis
(1 Goals)
,
V. Pavlidis
(1 Goals)
,
C. Tzolis
(1 Goals)
, 
K. Karetsas
(1 Goals)
G. Barkovsky
(1 Goals)
Greece - Belarus Key Points
- Belarus’ last five matches produced 19 goals.
- Greece have won nine of their last 11 matches.
- Belarus managed just four wins in their last 14 matches.
- In their last 10 home matches, Greece posted seven wins.
- Greece scored at least three goals in their last three matches.
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Our Greece vs Belarus Prediction
Greece had seven wins in their last 10 matches at home, and overall they’ve only lost twice in 11 games, winning the rest. This is a run strong enough to build the hosts’ confidence as they start the qualifiers. Another point of strength should be their scoring form, Ethniki having netted at least three goals in each of their last three matches.
Belarus will also feel capable of leaving Greece with something in the bag, and three wins in their last four matches will be a point of reference here. Our prediction for Greece v Belarus is for Greece to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Greece Belarus
| Greece vs Belarus | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greece wins | 1.18 | 1.17 | -0.8% |
| Draw | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
| Belarus wins | 13 | 21 | +61.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Greece is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 85.5% (0.7%)