Netherlands - Eredivisie
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Fortuna Sittard will play host to Ajax on Matchday 15 in the Eredivisie this Saturday. Fortunezen are ninth in the league standings, while De Godenzonen are fifth after 14 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Fortuna Sittard have made a mixed start to the Eredivisie season (W5 D3 L6), which sees them enter MD15 with 18 points, six points clear of NAC, which is the first team below the dotted line.
Fortunezen were held to a 1-1 draw by Heracles last week and have now won only one of their last six league games since the October international break (W1 D2 L3). Notably, though, they only failed to score in one of those matches.
The hosts’ major strength has been their home form this season, as they have earned 14 of their 18-point tally here at Fortuna Sittard Stadion (W4 D2 L1).
Meanwhile, Ajax endured a wretched November in which they failed to win any of their five matches across all competitions, including back-to-back league defeats to Utrecht and Excelsior.
However, they were able to end that run in their first match of December, beating Groningen 2-0 at home on Tuesday night. That was also the first clean sheet they managed since August.
The visitors have struggled massively on the road this season, recording just one win and earning only seven points from their six away league games to date (W1 D4 L1).
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/12/2025 between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.3% for a win of Fortuna Sittard against Ajax with odds of 4.4 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax is 25.67% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard with odds of 1.82 at Tonybet.
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Form
Fortuna Sittard and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
23 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
|
9
|
18 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 |
Fortuna Sittard and Ajax Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Oct 2025 - KNVB beker
25 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
25 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Oct 2025 - KNVB beker
19 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Sept 2024 - Eredivisie
10 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Sept 2023 - Eredivisie
9 Apr 2023 - Eredivisie
6 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
R. Bayram
DefenderD. Sinkgraven
MidfielderA. Halilovic
J. Mokio
J. Sutalo
MidfielderB. Van den Boomen
J. McConnell
ForwardS. Berghuis
Most goals and assists
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
P. Gladon
(4 Goals)
,
M. Ihattaren
(4 Goals)
W. Weghorst
(7 Goals)
D. Limnios
(2 Assists)
,
M. Ihattaren
(2 Assists)
, 
I. Pinto
(2 Assists)
M. Godts
(5 Assists)
Fortuna Sittard and Ajax Stats in Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - Ajax Key Points
- Four of Fortuna Sittard’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Fortuna Sittard have scored in every home league game this season.
- Four of Ajax’s last five league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- All of Ajax’s away league games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Ajax scored two or more goals in each of their last three matches against this opponent.
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Our Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction
While Fortuna Sittard have struggled for consistency this season, they have performed well at home, losing only one league game to date, while earning 14 of their 18 points at this venue.
Ajax have not lost to this opponent in any competition in over two decades, but their away record across all competitions has been exceptionally poor this season, and we feel they will have to outscore their opponents here if they are to get the result. Our Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax prediction is BTTS.