World - World Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Egypt have a home match against Ethiopia as they seek to move a step closer to qualifying for the 2026 World Cup. This will be a Group A match, and it finds Egypt top of the pool while Ethiopia are fourth. Read on to find our prediction.
The hosts have so far had a great run, only dropping points once. They come into this round unbeaten, with 16 points, five above their nearest challenger, Burkina Faso. In their last two matches, Egypt beat Ethiopia and Sierra Leone.
The mission here is, therefore, to complete a double on Ethiopia after the 2-0 win in the first meeting. They’ve won six of the last 10 outings and only lost once.
Ethiopia, like Egypt, were absent from the CHAN finals and thus missed key preparation games. Their only outing in August was a 3-0 friendly win against DC United.
They needed that, plus their earlier 6-1 win over Djibouti, as they had gone on a winless run earlier. Ethiopia’s last seven matches produced four defeats, and they failed to score in three of them.
Walia Ibex will head to Egypt knowing so well they have to play defensively, if anything, to improve their away record. The visitors have only three wins in the last 12 matches on the road.
In 10 matches against Egypt, Ethiopia managed one win.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
What is the prediction for the football match between Egypt and Ethiopia?
Our prediction for the Egypt vs Ethiopia match is: Egypt to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Egypt and Ethiopia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.76% for a win of Egypt against Ethiopia with odds of 1.18 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Egypt vs Ethiopia is 24.46% with odds of 7.53 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Egypt with odds of 29 at Bet365.
Egypt - Ethiopia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Egypt Ethiopia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Egypt wins | 59.76% | 1.18 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 62.61% | 2.14 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 3.8 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Egypt/Egypt | 30.14% | 1.56 at Unibet |
Egypt vs Ethiopia Form
Egypt and Ethiopia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 |
|
5
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
Egypt and Ethiopia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
Egypt vs Ethiopia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Egypt vs Ethiopia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Mohamed
Egypt - Ethiopia Key Points
- Ethiopia have one win in their last 10 meetings with Egypt.
- Egypt have never conceded a goal at home against Ethiopia.
- Egypt suffered just one defeat in their last 12 matches.
- Ethiopia have only three wins in 12 away games.
- In three of five home matches, Egypt won to nil.
Limited Offer. Currently at BOVADA
Our Egypt vs Ethiopia Prediction
Ethiopia are taking into this match a poor away run. They have struggled on the road and especially when facing Egypt. This will be another of their tough away matches, as they have never won nor scored a goal away against Egypt.
While the Pharaohs are enjoying a good run at home, Ethiopia have lost half of their last 12 outings on the road, while managing just three wins. We expect this trend to continue, and our prediction for Egypt v Ethiopia is for Egypt to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Egypt Ethiopia
| Egypt vs Ethiopia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt wins | 1.27 | 1.13 | -11.0% |
| Draw | 5 | 7.5 | +50.0% |
| Ethiopia wins | 11 | 29 | +163.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Egypt is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 88.5% (9.8%)