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Djibouti have a date with Burkina Faso in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. The two nations face off in Group A, Burkina Faso being second and Djibouti bottom. We have a prediction for the match below.
For lack of a proper venue, Djibouti will host this match in Bissau. While they won’t have the privilege of playing in front of home fans, the result here will be more significant to Burkina Faso.
The hosts have one point from six matches, which was picked up in their 1-1 draw with Ethiopia. A loss here will mean they can’t even manage a second-place finish.
Burkina Faso are five points behind group leaders Egypt. Closing that gap will be a daunting task, but they can at best target the playoffs. At the moment Burkina Faso are being kept off the best runners-up slots by just a point.
They’ve only suffered one defeat, away to Egypt, and facing the group’s whipping boys, this is an opportunity to narrow the gap. They had a dismal showing at the African Nations Championship, but with foreign-based players in, a lot more will be expected.
The visitors have won half of their last 10 matches and won all three of their meetings with Djibouti. Burkina Faso scored a total of 10 goals in those three meetings with Djibouti.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Djibouti and Burkina Faso?
Our prediction for the Djibouti vs Burkina Faso match is: Burkina Faso to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Djibouti and Burkina Faso in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.31% for a win of Djibouti against Burkina Faso with odds of 29 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Djibouti vs Burkina Faso is 6.82% with odds of 12 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 70.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Burkina Faso vs Djibouti with odds of 1.14 at Bet365.
Djibouti - Burkina Faso Prediction and Best Odds:
| Djibouti Burkina Faso Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 70.87% | 1.14 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.51% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | 3.75 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Burkina Faso/Burkina Faso | 37.51% | 1.53 at Bet365 |
Djibouti vs Burkina Faso Form
Djibouti and Burkina Faso's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
|
6
|
1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -22 |
Djibouti and Burkina Faso Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
8 Oct 2021 - World Cup
6 Sep 2021 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Oct 2024 - AFCON
Djibouti vs Burkina Faso Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2021 - World Cup
8 Oct 2021 - World Cup
Djibouti - Burkina Faso Key Points
- Djibouti posted six defeats in their last 10 matches.
- Burkina Faso posted five wins in their last 10 matches.
- Burkina Faso won all their previous meetings with Djibouti.
- A total of 11 goals were scored in these teams’ three meetings.
- An average of 3.6 goals were scored in Djibouti’s last five matches.
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Our Djibouti vs Burkina Faso Prediction
Djibouti have been the whipping boys in this group, and there’s no indication that will change any time soon. At least not in this match. They come into this game off the back of a 6-1 drubbing by Ethiopia and having conceded a total of 13 goals in just those three matches.
Playing this match away from their home fans will also be a factor, but all in all, we see a case where Burkina Faso will emerge with a big win. The first meeting between them ended in a 4-1 win for Burkina Faso. Our prediction for Djibouti v Burkina Faso is for Burkina Faso to win and over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Djibouti Burkina Faso
| Djibouti vs Burkina Faso | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djibouti wins | 26 | 17 | -34.6% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 8.5 | +13.3% |
| Burkina Faso wins | 1.1 | 1.14 | +3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burkina Faso is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 90.9% and is now 87.7% (-3.2%)