England - Championship
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Norwich City and Derby County both have the chance to open a four-point buffer away from the relegation region this Tuesday. The two are tied on eight points going into matchday 11, with Norwich 20th and hosts Derby 21st. Here’s our prediction for the match.
The international hiatus didn’t offer a break to either of these teams’ woes. They still returned to losing outings. Derby fell 1-0 away to Oxford United, leaving them winless in the last five league games.
As it is, 12 matches into the season, the Rams have managed just one win in 90 minutes. Across the 12 matches, Derby only managed more than one goal twice.
Norwich City haven't lost this fixture in the last three meetings. With that, they will hope to end a six-match winless run. They returned from the international break with a 1-0 home loss to Bristol City.
That marked a third straight defeat and the second time in the three matches that they failed to score. Norwich have managed just one point in their last five outings, a return that should concern manager Liam Manning.
That their two league wins came on the road should be a reason to be positive. However, their latest away encounter ended in a 3-1 loss to Ipswich Town, making it three winless on their travels.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Norwich?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Norwich match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2025 between Derby County and Norwich in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.5% for a win of Derby County against Norwich with odds of 2.45 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Norwich is 38.18% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Derby County with odds of 3 at Betfred.
Derby County vs Norwich Form
Derby County and Norwich's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 |
|
21
|
8 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5 |
Derby County and Norwich Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
5 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
Derby County vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
40 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2021 - Championship
3 Oct 2018 - Championship
26 Nov 2016 - Championship
Derby County vs Norwich last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
C. Nelson
S. Langas
O. Beck
MidfielderL. Thompson
ForwardC. Blackett-Taylor
B. Chrisene
S. Duffy
MidfielderG. Forsyth
A. Ben Slimane
ForwardF. Amankwah
M. Kvistgaarden
P. Diallo
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Norwich
C. Morris
(4 Goals)
J. Sargent
(6 Goals)
P. Agyemang
(2 Assists)
J. Stacey
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Jurasek
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Medic
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Schlupp
(1 Assists)
, 
K. McLean
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Cordoba
(1 Assists)
Derby County and Norwich Stats in Championship
Derby County - Norwich Key Points
- On average, Derby County have scored 1.1 league goals per game.
- Of these teams’ last four meetings, three had under 2.5 goals.
- Three of Norwich’s last four matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Each of Derby’s last six matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Derby County vs Norwich Prediction
Scoring has been the biggest weakness for these teams. Both have struggled to hit more than a goal per game this season, a stat that explains their low positioning in the standings. On average, both have scored 1.1 goals per game so far in the league.
Most of their recent meetings have also resulted in low scores. We might have the same here, looking at how the two sides’ seasons have panned out. Our prediction for Derby County v Norwich City is for under 2.5.