World - World Cup
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Sixth-place Colombia and eighth-placed Bolivia face off on Thursday in the penultimate CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying fixture. It’s a high-stakes match in Barranquilla between Los Cafeteros and La Verde! Who will come out on top? Check out our prediction below!
Colombia can punch their ticket to North America with a win, while a draw might also be enough depending on other results. Bolivia, meanwhile, are fighting an uphill battle for qualification. Anything other than three points on Thursday will see them eliminated from contention.
The hosts come into this matchup off the back of a hard-fought 1-1 stalemate away against Argentina back in June. It was a tough result to take considering that Colombia was 1-0 up against 10-man Argentina heading into the final 10 minutes before Almada’s equalizer.
That result was their third draw in a row as Nestor Lorenzo’s side has now gone six matches without a win (D3, L3).
Bolivia finally put an end to their own six-match winless run with a 2-0 home victory over Chile in their last outing. The result brings them up to 16 points, one behind seventh-place Venezuela for a playoff spot and five behind Colombia.
As is usually the case with La Verde, most of their success has come in the high altitude of La Paz. They’ve managed a 4-2-2 record on home soil compared to 1-0-7 on the road.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Colombia and Bolivia?
Our prediction for the Colombia vs Bolivia match is: Colombia team total over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Colombia and Bolivia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.49% for a win of Colombia against Bolivia with odds of 1.12 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Colombia vs Bolivia is 18.83% with odds of 11.5 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolivia vs Colombia with odds of 31 at 888Starz.
Colombia - Bolivia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Colombia Bolivia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colombia wins | 63.49% | 1.12 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.85% | 1.44 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 35.83% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Colombia/Colombia | 41.55% | 1.52 at Vbet |
Colombia vs Bolivia Form
Colombia and Bolivia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
25 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
|
8
|
17 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | -19 |
Colombia and Bolivia Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
7 Jul 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
7 Sep 2024 - World Cup
15 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Colombia vs Bolivia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2022 - World Cup
2 Sep 2021 - World Cup
Players list
C. Vargas
DefenderD. Sanchez
S. Arias
J. Mojica
J. Lucumi
MidfielderR. Rios
J. Portilla
J. Quintero
ForwardJ. Campaz
M. Hinestroza
D. Moreno
C. Lampe
DefenderL. Haquin
E. Morales
R. Fernandez
Y. Rocha
H. Vaca
MidfielderMiguelito
M. Villarroel
E. Vaca Moreno
C. Melgar
ForwardC. Algaranaz
Substitutes
D. Ospina
K. Mier
DefenderA. Angulo
Y. Mina
F. Roman
MidfielderJ. Carrascal
J. Quintero
J. Portilla
J. Campaz
M. Hinestroza
D. Moreno
L. Suarez
R. Banegas
G. Viscarra
DefenderY. Rocha
D. Arroyo
L. Zabala
MidfielderO. Lopez
C. Melgar
H. Vaca
M. Villarroel
H. Cuellar
ForwardE. Monteiro
C. Algaranaz
Most goals and assists
Colombia
Bolivia
L. Diaz
(7 Goals)
Miguelito
(6 Goals)
Colombia - Bolivia Key Points
- Bolivia have conceded the most goals in the region at 32.
- The visitors are giving up an average of 3.13 goals on average when playing away from home.
- Five of Bolivia’s eight away matches have seen them concede at least three goals.
- Colombia have scored 63 goals in Nestor Lorenzo’s 36 games in charge so far.
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Our Colombia vs Bolivia Prediction
Colombia have shown flashes of attacking production when playing in the humid Barranquilla. They’ve struggled for consistency lately, but they did score twice on a very solid Paraguay defense and put four past Chile at this ground.
Bolivia can often surprise teams when playing in La Paz due to the huge advantage that they possess as they are acclimated to the altitude. However, it’s a completely different story on the road. On Colombia’s home turf, we’re expecting an easy win for Los Cafeteros who should wrap up their World Cup spot. Our Colombia vs Bolivia prediction: Colombia team total over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Colombia Bolivia
| Colombia vs Bolivia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia wins | 1.22 | 1.11 | -9.0% |
| Draw | 7 | 9.5 | +35.7% |
| Bolivia wins | 10 | 21 | +110.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Colombia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 90.1% (8.1%)