England - Women's Super League
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The new Women’s Super League season is set for a blockbuster opening when Chelsea and Manchester City face off in Round 1. Chelsea will play host, looking to start their title defence on a high. Read on for our prediction of the match. These two have established a rivalry over the years, making this a best fit for the season opener. The Blues won the title last season, opening a 12-point gap from Arsenal, the second-placed team. Chelsea have dominated the recent meetings between these two. They last met in the Champions League, with Chelsea claiming a 3-0 win. That was the biggest win registered in this fixture since 2021, when they beat City 4-0. Heading into this match, Chelsea are on four straight wins competitively.
Manchester City finished a distant fourth last term. The gap between them and Chelsea was not just huge on the score sheets; City were 17 points behind the Blues at the close of last season. The huge difference was made by City winning only 13 of their 22 matches in the campaign compared to Chelsea’s 19. City also lost five times in the league, while Chelsea were unbeaten all season and only dropped points in three draws. Manchester City are unbeaten in four matches, winning two. In their last nine league matches, their only loss was against Chelsea.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Manchester City match is: Chelsea wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Chelsea and Manchester City in Women's Super League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.04% for a win of Chelsea against Manchester City with odds of 4.7 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Manchester City is 21.13% with odds of 34 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Chelsea with odds of 1001 at Betfred.
Chelsea - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 55.04% | 4.7 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.03% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 2.38 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 20.17% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Manchester City Form
Chelsea and Manchester City's standings in the Women's Super League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
|
11
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Chelsea and Manchester City Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Women's FA Cup
10 May 2025 - Women's Super League
4 May 2025 - Women's Super League
30 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
27 Apr 2025 - Champions League W.
23 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - Women's FA Cup
10 May 2025 - Women's Super League
27 Apr 2025 - Champions League W.
23 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
12 Apr 2025 - Women's FA Cup
30 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Women's Super League
30 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
20 Apr 2025 - Champions League W.
23 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
19 Mar 2025 - Champions League W.
2 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Women's Super League
4 May 2025 - Women's Super League
27 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
20 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
13 Apr 2025 - Women's FA Cup
30 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Women's Super League
20 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
13 Apr 2025 - Women's FA Cup
23 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
19 Mar 2025 - Champions League W.
9 Mar 2025 - Women's FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Women's Super League
27 Apr 2025 - Women's Super League
30 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
27 Mar 2025 - Champions League W.
15 Mar 2025 - FA Women's League Cup
5 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
Chelsea vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Mar 2025 - Champions League W.
23 Mar 2025 - Women's Super League
19 Mar 2025 - Champions League W.
15 Mar 2025 - FA Women's League Cup
16 Nov 2024 - Women's Super League
7 Mar 2024 - FA Women's League Cup
Chelsea - Manchester City Key Points
- Manchester City’s only loss in nine league games was against Chelsea.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last two matches against City.
- In the last six meetings between these two, City won only once.
- Manchester City have only won twice in the last six away league games.
- Chelsea last lost a league game in March 2023.
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Our Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction
Manchester City come into this game as the clear underdogs even though they were the last team to beat Chelsea in the league. That was back in March 2023, and coming into this game, the Blues are in a much stronger position.
Chelsea finished last season undefeated in the league and will head here as the favorite to start the season with a win. City struggled a bit on the road in their latest league games, and that could extend here. Our prediction for Chelsea v Manchester City is that Chelsea wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Manchester City
| Chelsea vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.5 | 1.71 | +14.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.8 | -5.0% |
| Manchester City wins | 5.75 | 4.2 | -27.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 58.5% (-8.2%)