World - World Cup
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The final match on Thursday’s slate of CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifiers sees third-place Brazil playing host to bottom-placed Chile. Both teams have already sealed their fates, with Brazil punching their World Cup ticket while Chile have been eliminated from contention. Check out our match prediction below!
Brazil enter this match off the back of a 1-0 home win over Paraguay back in June. The result boosted them up to third in the standings, although they still trail rivals Argentina by 10 points.
It’s been an abnormally inconsistent qualifying campaign for Brazil, who are normally so dominant at this stage. It’s been A Selecao’s away form that has really let them down with just eight points from eight away trips and a -5 goal differential.
At home, however, Brazil have a solid 5-2-1 record, scoring 15 goals while conceding five.
It will go down as a campaign to forget for Chilean fans who have had to suffer through a difficult few years. After their encouraging performances in the 2010 and 2014 World Cup’s, Chile have now failed to qualify for the last three editions.
They find themselves rooted to the bottom of the standings with only nine points from 16 games. In their last match, La Roja were beaten 2-0 away to Bolivia, extending their winless run to four matches (D1, L3).
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What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Chile?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Chile match is: Brazil to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Brazil and Chile in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.77% for a win of Brazil against Chile with odds of 1.2 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Chile is 27.81% with odds of 7.02 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 4.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Chile vs Brazil with odds of 19 at Betfred.
Brazil - Chile Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brazil Chile Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 67.77% | 1.2 at William Hill |
| Under 2.5 | 60.42% | 2.14 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 27.5% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brazil | 36.12% | 3.95 at Unibet |
Brazil vs Chile Form
Brazil and Chile's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
|
10
|
10 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -18 |
Brazil and Chile Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Oct 2024 - World Cup
7 Sep 2024 - World Cup
3 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
11 Sep 2024 - World Cup
7 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
9 Feb 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
9 Feb 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
Brazil vs Chile Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3 Sep 2021 - World Cup
3 Jul 2021 - Copa America
Players list
Alisson
DefenderMarquinhos
W. Franca
D. Santos
G. Magalhaes
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
Luiz Henrique
ForwardL. Paqueta
A. Santos
K. Jorge
Richarlison
L. Vigouroux
DefenderG. Maripan
G. Suazo
I. Roman
F. Hormazabal
R. Echeverria
P. Diaz
MidfielderV. Pizarro
ForwardL. Assadi
G. Tapia
A. Aravena
Substitutes
H. Souza
Bento
DefenderVitinho
A. Ribeiro
F. Bruno
C. Henrique
MidfielderL. Paqueta
A. Santos
S. Lino
Richarlison
Luiz Henrique
K. Jorge
V. Reyes
T. Gillier
DefenderD. Gonzalez
I. Garguez
MidfielderL. Assadi
M. Sepulveda
J. Altamirano
I. Saavedra
R. Echeverria
E. Ramos
G. Tapia
M. Gutierrez
Most goals and assists
Brazil
Chile
Raphinha
(5 Goals)
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
Brazil - Chile Key Points
- Chile are the second lowest scoring team in the region with only nine goals in 16 matches.
- This includes only one goal scored in eight away games.
- Seven of Chile’s eight away qualifying matches have seen them lose and fail to score.
- Brazil have won four of their last five home matches, keeping a clean sheet in three of those.
- Brazil have kept two clean sheets in Ancelotti’s first two games in charge.
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Our Brazil vs Chile Prediction
Brazil have been gaining some momentum in their last few matches at home, winning five of their last six. While they have work to do when playing on foreign soil, they’ve largely been able to take care of business in the comforts of home.
Chile have been dreadful when playing away from home over the last few years. Only one goal scored in eight away trips in qualifying tells you all you need to know about where they are at. We don’t expect them to score against Ancelotti’s side. Our Brazil vs Chile prediction: Brazil to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brazil Chile
| Brazil vs Chile | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil wins | 1.2 | 1.18 | -1.7% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 6.5 | +13.0% |
| Chile wins | 12 | 17 | +41.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brazil is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 84.7% (1.4%)