England - League One
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The ToughSheet Community Stadium will host Saturday's mid-table League One clash between hosts Bolton Wanderers and visiting AFC Wimbledon. Two points and two places in the table separate the Dons from the Trotters ahead of the game, and there is a history of very close encounters between the two teams over the last few seasons. Will we predict either of the two teams to win, or will we back another match outcome?
Currently, both teams sit in mid-table after playing six League One games so far. Wimbledon are 12th in the table, with nine points. Bolton sit two places below in 14th, with seven points, yet the Trotters have only lost one game this season, compared to the Dons' three.
Bolton comes into this game on the back of four league draws, all by a 1-1 scoreline. That includes fixtures against Barnsley (away), Reading (Home), Lincoln (Home) and Blackpool (Away). In midweek, the Trotters tasted victory for the first time in five games with a 1-0 win over Rotherham in the Johnstone's Paint Trophy Group Stage.
It has been a tough period for Wimbledon, who have won just one of their last five games in all competitions. They were beaten 2-1 by Reading in the EFL Cup Second Round, then lost 3-2 in the league away to Bradford City last weekend. Worse was to come in the Johnstone's Paint Trophy in midweek, as they suffered a 5-1 home defeat to Stevenage.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bolton and AFC Wimbledon?
Our prediction for the Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon match is: A Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2025 between Bolton and AFC Wimbledon in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.17% for a win of Bolton against AFC Wimbledon with odds of 1.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon is 31.29% with odds of 4.5 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.54% chance ⭐ for a win of AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton with odds of 7.5 at Unibet.
Bolton - AFC Wimbledon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bolton AFC Wimbledon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 56.17% | 1.5 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 64.96% | 1.94 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bolton | 22.87% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon Form
Bolton and AFC Wimbledon's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
|
15
|
9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
Bolton and AFC Wimbledon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
30 Aug 2025 - League One
23 Aug 2025 - League One
20 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
23 Aug 2025 - League One
20 Aug 2025 - League One
13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
3 Aug 2025 - League One
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
30 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
16 Aug 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
9 Aug 2025 - League One
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderG. Johnston
C. Forino
J. Dacres-Cogley
S. Dalby
MidfielderR. Taylor
X. Simons
M. Forss
A. Morley
ForwardJ. McAtee
I. Cissoko
N. Bishop
DefenderS. Seddon
I. Ogundere
A. Sasu
J. Lewis
P. Bauer
MidfielderM. Browne
J. Reeves
C. Maycock
A. Hackford
ForwardO. Bugiel
Substitutes
T. Miller
DefenderR. Taylor
I. Cissoko
E. Erhahon
ForwardJ. McAtee
M. Forss
S. Dalby
J. McDonnell
DefenderP. Bauer
A. Sasu
C. Maycock
D. Orsi-Dadomo
A. Hackford
O. Bugiel
Most goals and assists
Bolton
AFC Wimbledon
M. Burstow
(3 Goals)
M. Stevens
(4 Goals)
Bolton - AFC Wimbledon Key Points
- Bolton have drawn all their last four league games, including the last two league home matches.
- Wimbledon have won just one of their last five games in all competitions (losing four).
- Both teams have conceded six goals in six league games this season, Wimbledon scoring eight, Bolton scoring six.
- Four of the last five games between Bolton and Wimbledon have finished as a draw.
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Our Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction
Our prediction for the Bolton Wanderers vs. AFC Wimbledon League One match is: A Draw.
The data for this fixture shows that 80% of the last five games between these two teams have finished as a draw. Furthermore, Bolton have drawn all of their last four League One games. Wimbledon may not have drawn a league game this season, but their poor form of late means that they will be desperate to get something from this contest. With both sides scoring record and positions similar, the draw is the smart bet here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bolton AFC Wimbledon
| Bolton vs AFC Wimbledon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton wins | 1.53 | 1.4 | -8.5% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0% |
| AFC Wimbledon wins | 5.5 | 6.25 | +13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bolton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 71.4% (6.1%)