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AZ Alkmaar vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Two sides in fairly good shape face off when AS Roma makes the trip to Alkmaar to face AZ on matchday seven of the Europa League. The competition returns after six entertaining rounds in the league phase, finding AZ in 19th spot, five places below their Italian visitors. With just a point separating the two sides, both will feel capable of rising into the automatic qualification positions for the knockouts. In this preview we will have two predictions for the match.
Seven teams have already secured qualification to the Europa League knockouts, AZ and Roma aren’t among them. These two still have a fighting chance. For AZ, home form and their impressive run against Italian sides will be key.
They may, however, look to do better defensively, having conceded in all three home matches in the competition this season. On their part, Roma are carrying a solid run to this game and a win here could guarantee a playoff slot.
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What is the prediction for the football match between AZ Alkmaar and Roma?
Our prediction for the AZ Alkmaar vs Roma match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2025 between AZ Alkmaar and Roma in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.34% for a win of AZ Alkmaar against Roma with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AZ Alkmaar vs Roma is 37.34% with odds of 3.73 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.25 at William Hill.
AZ Alkmaar vs Roma Form
AZ Alkmaar and Roma's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
|
19
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
AZ Alkmaar and Roma Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
21 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2024 - KNVB beker
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
18 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
AZ Alkmaar - Roma: Form Analysis
AZ are on a three-match unbeaten run in the Europa League and in total 11 matches. Right ahead of this game, they are coming a 0-0 draw with Utrecht and in those 11 matches, they won seven times.
Being three points below the top eight, the Dutch side will come here fighting for a win. It is their first meeting with Roma and AZ will direct their impressive attacking cylinders at the Italians.
The home team failed to score just once in the last 15 matches. However, Maarten Martens' side kept only four clean sheets in the process. Against Italian sides, AZ have five wins, a draw and two losses.
In 11 of AZ’s last 15 matches, both teams scored!
AS Roma are going through their best period of the season, being undefeated in their last six matches. The Italian side didn’t start the season on a strong footing, but Claudio Ranieri’s return has really offered a lift.
Ahead of Christmas they had won two and drew two in their last four Europa League matches. The latest of those was a 3-0 victory at home to Sporting Braga. In their six Europa League matches though, Roma managed only two clean sheets.
They failed to score in just one, and there is a lot to build from. A dominant showing in their latest game saw Roma beat Genoa 3-1 at home in the Serie A.
Now they are gunning for an improved away performance. Roma have to look back to April when they last won an away match. There have been 17 failed attempts on the road.
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AZ Alkmaar vs Roma last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
AZ Alkmaar & Roma Squad Analysis
Fresh from being named the December Eredivisie Player of the Month, Troy Parrott will want to carry his form to Europe.
He will definitely be one to watch on this AZ side especially as they’ll miss the injured Ruben van Bommel who has three Europa League goals.
The injury situation is not so bad at AZ but they’ll miss two more players. Ibrahim Sadiq and long-term absentee Sem Westerveld are sidelined.
Paulo Dybala is still searching for his first Europa League goal.
At Roma, the first name on the team list will definitely be Ukrainian attacker Artem Dobvyk. The striker has five goals in his last six matches and will be crucial for Roma, who seek to end a poor away run.
Paulo Dybala is another outlet for goals to improve AS Roma’s attack. Dybala hasn’t scored in the Europa League this season but comes here in impressive form. The Argentine has three goals in the last five matches.
Most goals and assists
AZ Alkmaar
Roma
T. Parrott
(11 Goals)
A. Dovbyk
(9 Goals)
D. Wolfe
(4 Assists)
, 
S. Mijnans
(4 Assists)
S. El Shaarawy
(3 Assists)
,
A. Dovbyk
(3 Assists)
, 
P. Dybala
(3 Assists)
AZ Alkmaar and Roma Stats in Europa League
AZ Alkmaar - Roma Key Points
- In their last 15 matches AZ failed to score just once.
- Both teams scored in AZ’s last three Europa League matches.
- Roma managed just three clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
- In 10 Europa League home matches, AZ managed two clean sheets.
- In seven of Roma’s last 11 Europa League matches, both teams scored.
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Our AZ Alkmaar vs Roma Prediction
Both Roma and AZ are doing well ahead of this game and will be fully confident of a positive outcome here. The basis of their recent good runs has been in attack, with the two sides rarely going without scoring.
However, the two teams have had their struggles in defence especially when it comes to Europe. AZ have two clean sheets in 10 Europa League matches while in seven of Roma’s 11 in the competition, both teams scored. Our prediction for AZ v Roma is for both teams to score.
AZ Alkmaar vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions
Artem Dovbyk to score anytime
AS Roma’s Ukrainian forward Artem Dovbyk has scored five times in his last six matches. He carries this good form into this game having also scored two goals in the Europa League.
The striker will definitely be fired up for this game. As such, we will pick him to score anytime, as our second prediction for this match.