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Qualifier Francesco Maestrelli makes his Grand Slam main draw debut on Monday. He faces unseeded Terence Atmane in round one of this outdoor hard court Australian Open. Can Maestrelli cause an upset? Read our match prediction below.
Round two will see the winner of this match face either fourth seed Novak Djokovic or unseeded Pedro Martinez.
Maestrelli's previous best performance in a Grand Slam was a final qualifying round at the US Open and Roland Garros. The Italian played in Melbourne in both 2023 and 2024 and was beaten in the first qualifying round.
He's finally made it to a main draw after winning three qualifiers. The final round saw him come from behind to beat Dusan Lajovic.
Reaching this first round has taken the 23-year-old to 141st in the live rankings.
Terence Atmane is 77 places above Maestrelli in the live rankings. The Frenchman has only played in three previous Grand Slam main draws but is still waiting for his first win. This represents a great chance to consign that unwanted record to history.
He's won one of his three matches this year, That was in Brisbane where he beat Yannick Hanfmann before losing to Novak Djokovic. Last year saw the 24-year-old reach the last four of the Cincinnati Masters.
We tip Atmane to win.
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Who will win the Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli match is: Terence Atmane wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli game on 19/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Terence Atmane has a 46.18% chance to win against Francesco Maestrelli according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.51.
- Francesco Maestrelli has a 53.82% probability of winning facing Terence Atmane ⭐ with odds of 2.65 at Melbet.
Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Terence Atmane has a 46.18 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Terence Atmane | 46.18 % |
| Francesco Maestrelli | 53.82 % |
Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli Form
Terence Atmane and Francesco Maestrelli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
12 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
3 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International
2 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
18 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
4 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
18 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Terence Atmane - Francesco Maestrelli Key Points
- Atmane is 77 places above Maestrelli in the live rankings.
- Maestrelli is making his Grand Slam main draw debut so lacks experience of five-set matches.
- Atmane beat Taylor Fritz and Holger Rune on his way to the semi-finals of the 2025 Cincinnati Masters.
- Maestrelli is far more at home on clay.
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Our Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli Prediction
One of these players will break their duck and finally win a main draw match in a Grand Slam. Terence Atmane has more experience than his opponent and will find Maestrelli an easier opponent than Daniil Medvedev who he lost to here in 2024.
Francesco Maestrelli has finally made it through the qualifying rounds of a Grand Slam tournament. He is better on clay and needed a deciding set to win his final qualifier. Our Terence Atmane v Francesco Maestrelli prediction is Terence Atmane wins.