Italy - Coppa Italia
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Atalanta and Genoa have picked up some impressive form ahead of their Coppa Italia clash this Wednesday. The two sides will be squaring off in the round of 16, a match hosted by Atalanta. Read on for our prediction below.
The winner here will face off with Juventus or Udinese in the quarter-finals. Atalanta are looking to add to their sole Coppa triumph, won in 1963.
This game finds them in positive form, having won their last two matches after a difficult start to the season. A 2-0 win against Fiorentina on Sunday was only their third in Serie A this season.
It came right after a convincing 3-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt. With this momentum they’ll be looking to better their quarter-final finish last season.
Genoa are also looking to build on a poor start to the season as they seek a second Coppa Italia gong. They won this cup back in 1937.
Last season, they were dumped out at the round of 32 by Sampdoria in a 2-1 home defeat. Genoa beat Vicenza in the second round before seeing off last season’s surprise package, Empoli, 3-1 to book this slot.
It gets tougher now as they start meeting Serie A sides, but they have a good run coming here. Il Grifone are unbeaten in the last four matches, their best run of the season, winning two of the matches.
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Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Genoa match is: Atalanta wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Atalanta and Genoa in Coppa Italia :
| Atalanta Genoa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 44.11% | 1.55 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.99% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 21.53% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2023 - Serie A
13 Mar 2022 - Serie A
21 Dec 2021 - Serie A
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
M. Bakker
Atalanta
Genoa
G. Scamacca
(3 Goals)
,
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
,
L. Samardzic
(3 Goals)
,
C. De Ketelaere
(3 Goals)
L. Ostigard
(3 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
A. Martin
(2 Assists)
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Both Atalanta and Genoa will head into this game looking to build on their recently established positive runs. While Atalanta are coming off two straight wins, Genoa have gone undefeated in their last four games, marking their best period this season.
However, on the balance of their head-to-head performances, Atalanta carries the day. La Dea haven't lost to Genoa in the last 11 meetings, and playing at home will suit them as well. Our prediction for Atalanta v Genoa is that Atalanta wins.
| Atalanta vs Genoa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 1.46 | 1.45 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.33 | +11.0% |
| Genoa wins | 6 | 7 | +16.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that: