Italy - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
03/12/2025 15:00
Genoa

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins

 
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Atalanta and Genoa have picked up some impressive form ahead of their Coppa Italia clash this Wednesday. The two sides will be squaring off in the round of 16, a match hosted by Atalanta. Read on for our prediction below.

The winner here will face off with Juventus or Udinese in the quarter-finals. Atalanta are looking to add to their sole Coppa triumph, won in 1963.

This game finds them in positive form, having won their last two matches after a difficult start to the season. A 2-0 win against Fiorentina on Sunday was only their third in Serie A this season.

It came right after a convincing 3-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt. With this momentum they’ll be looking to better their quarter-final finish last season.

Genoa are also looking to build on a poor start to the season as they seek a second Coppa Italia gong. They won this cup back in 1937.

Last season, they were dumped out at the round of 32 by Sampdoria in a 2-1 home defeat. Genoa beat Vicenza in the second round before seeing off last season’s surprise package, Empoli, 3-1 to book this slot.

It gets tougher now as they start meeting Serie A sides, but they have a good run coming here. Il Grifone are unbeaten in the last four matches, their best run of the season, winning two of the matches.

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What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Genoa?

Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Genoa match is: Atalanta wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Atalanta and Genoa in Coppa Italia :

Atalanta - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:

Atalanta Genoa Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 44.11% 1.55 at 22bet
Over 2.5 goals 51.99% 1.99 at Stake
Both Team To Score 63.75% 2.1 at Ladbrokes
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta 21.53% 4.33 at Bet365

Atalanta vs Genoa Form

Atalanta and Genoa Last Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta
D D D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Slavia Prague

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio

4 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Como 1907
D D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

1 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Atalanta

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
1 :  1
Atalanta

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L L W D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Cremonese

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Genoa
W L D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Cremonese

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio

25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
3 :  1
Empoli
D L L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  1
Genoa

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Genoa

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  1
Genoa

15 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  1
Genoa

Atalanta vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

67 %

Draw

33 %

Genoa

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Atalanta

5 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
5 :  1
Genoa

11 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  4
Atalanta

22 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Genoa

13 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Genoa

21 Dec 2021 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Atalanta

Atalanta against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

57
M. Sportiello
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
16
R. Bellanova
8
M. Pasalic
15
M. De Roon
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
7
K. Sulemana
9
G. Scamacca
23
V. Carboni
21
J. Ekhator
40
S. Fini
8
N. Stanciu
32
M. Frendrup
73
P. Masini
77
M. Ellertsson
22
J. Vasquez
34
S. Otoa
15
B. Norton-Cuffy
31
B. Siegrist

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Genoa

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

Genoa
Genoa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (3 Goals)
Nigeria A. Lookman (3 Goals)
Serbia L. Samardzic (3 Goals)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway L. Ostigard (3 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (2 Assists)

Atalanta - Genoa Key Points

  1. Genoa are winless in 11 matches against Atalanta.
  2. Atalanta, playing at home, have only lost once this season.
  3. Atalanta have posted three wins in their last five matches.
  4. Genoa posted three defeats in their latest five away matches.
Up to €50 to bet on Atalanta - Genoa! 

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Our Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction

Both Atalanta and Genoa will head into this game looking to build on their recently established positive runs. While Atalanta are coming off two straight wins, Genoa have gone undefeated in their last four games, marking their best period this season.

However, on the balance of their head-to-head performances, Atalanta carries the day. La Dea haven't lost to Genoa in the last 11 meetings, and playing at home will suit them as well. Our prediction for Atalanta v Genoa is that Atalanta wins.

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atalanta Genoa

Atalanta vs Genoa Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Atalanta wins 1.46 1.45 -0.7%
Draw 3.9 4.33 +11.0%
Genoa wins 6 7 +16.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that: