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Qualifying leaders Argentina will look to extend their unbeaten run when they host seventh-placed Venezuela in Buenos Aires. This is the penultimate match in the CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign.
Argentina have long since wrapped up their spot in the 2026 World Cup and leadTheir 35 points earned sees them holding a 10-point lead over second-place Ecuador.
Argentina snatched a 1-1 draw at home against Colombia, scoring the equalizer in the final 10 minutes despite being reduced to 10 men. That result put an end to a four-game winning streak, but extended their overall unbeaten run to five games.
The defending world champions are the highest-scoring team in the region with 28 goals in 16 matches played. Argentina has found the net in their last 21 straight games across all competitions.
Venezuela face a mammoth task that would require beating both Argentina and Colombia if they are to secure automatic qualification to the World Cup via a top six finish. More realistically, La Vinotinto will have to match or better Bolivia’s results in these last two games to qualify for the inter-confederation playoff.
The visitors fell to a 2-0 away defeat to Uruguay back in June but they’ve been in solid form overall. Prior to that loss, Venezuela had won two matches in a row, both of which were at home.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Argentina and Venezuela?
Our prediction for the Argentina vs Venezuela match is: Argentina -1.5 Asian handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2025 between Argentina and Venezuela in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 79.89% for a win of Argentina against Venezuela with odds of 1.25 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Argentina vs Venezuela is 11.78% with odds of 6.05 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Venezuela vs Argentina with odds of 15.2 at 22bet.
Argentina - Venezuela Prediction and Best Odds:
| Argentina Venezuela Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 79.89% | 1.25 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.75% | 1.92 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 49.17% | 2.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Argentina/Argentina | 46.17% | 1.77 at Unibet |
Argentina vs Venezuela Form
Argentina and Venezuela's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
38 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22 |
|
7
|
18 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -7 |
Argentina and Venezuela Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
15 Jul 2024 - Copa America
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
11 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Jan 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
Argentina vs Venezuela Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2022 - World Cup
3 Sep 2021 - World Cup
28 Jun 2019 - Copa America
22 Mar 2019 - International Friendlies
Players list
E. Martinez
DefenderG. Simeone
N. Otamendi
N. Tagliafico
C. Romero
MidfielderR. De Paul
N. Gonzalez
N. Paz
E. Palacios
ForwardL. Messi
L. Martinez
R. Romo
DefenderJ. Aramburu
C. Makoun
W. Angel
Y. Soteldo
N. Ferraresi
MidfielderC. Casseres Jr
J. Yriarte
L. Flores
J. Murillo
ForwardJ. Martinez
Substitutes
G. Rulli
W. Benitez
DefenderM. Acuna
L. Balerdi
G. Montiel
MidfielderN. Paz
E. Palacios
A. Mac Allister
G. Lo Celso
ForwardN. Gonzalez
L. Martinez
G. Simeone
W. Farinez
A. Baroja
DefenderJ. Mejias
A. Gonzalez
MidfielderG. Mendoza
Y. Soteldo
D. Pereira
J. Yriarte
L. Flores
J. Murillo
J. Martinez
K. Kelsy
Most goals and assists
Argentina
Venezuela
L. Messi
(8 Goals)
S. Rondon
(5 Goals)
Argentina - Venezuela Key Points
- Argentina are the top-scoring home team in qualifying with 17 goals in 8 games (2.13 average).
- Venezuela have lost by at least two goals in three of their last five qualifying matches.
- The visitors have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six away fixtures.
- Venezuela is winless on the road in qualifying, drawing two and losing six.
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Our Argentina vs Venezuela Prediction
Despite not having anything to play for, we’re not expecting to see a drop-off in the quality of Argentina’s play. The hosts have been dominant at home and should be able to extend their record in relatively easy fashion.
Venezuela will have to pull off a historic win on Thursday if they are to keep their top-six hopes alive. Manager Fernando Batista likely won’t be expecting to get anything from this match. It’s their meeting with Colombia in Barranquilla three days later that will be the basket containing all of Venezuela’s eggs. Our Argentina vs Venezuela prediction: Argentina -1.5 Asian handicap.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Argentina Venezuela
| Argentina vs Venezuela | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 1.2 | 1.22 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 5.75 | 0% |
| Venezuela wins | 13 | 15 | +15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 82.0% (-1.4%)